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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Mainz 05 win with a probability of 52.71%. A draw had a probability of 25.2% and a win for Union Berlin had a probability of 22.11%.
The most likely scoreline for a Mainz 05 win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.8%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.15%) and 2-1 (9.45%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.91%), while for a Union Berlin win it was 0-1 (7.51%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
52.71% ( 0.03) | 25.17% ( -0.01) | 22.11% ( -0.03) |
Both teams to score 48.16% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.04% ( -0.01) | 53.95% ( 0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.6% ( -0.01) | 75.4% ( 0) |
Mainz 05 Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.53% ( 0.01) | 20.46% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
47.06% ( 0.02) | 52.93% ( -0.02) |
Union Berlin Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.55% ( -0.03) | 39.44% ( 0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.86% ( -0.03) | 76.13% ( 0.03) |
Score Analysis |
Mainz 05 | Draw | Union Berlin |
1-0 @ 12.8% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 10.15% ( 0.01) 2-1 @ 9.45% ( 0) 3-0 @ 5.37% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.32% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.13% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.98% ( 0) 4-2 @ 0.92% Other @ 2.57% Total : 52.7% | 1-1 @ 11.91% 0-0 @ 8.07% ( 0) 2-2 @ 4.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.79% Total : 25.17% | 0-1 @ 7.51% ( -0) 1-2 @ 5.54% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 1.72% ( -0) 2-3 @ 1.36% ( -0) 0-3 @ 1.08% ( -0) Other @ 1.4% Total : 22.11% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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