Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Monza win with a probability of 48.71%. A win for Torino had a probability of 25.99% and a draw had a probability of 25.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Monza win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.25%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.39%) and 2-0 (8.79%). The likeliest Torino win was 0-1 (7.71%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.02%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-1 draw for this match.
Result | ||
Monza | Draw | Torino |
48.71% ( 0.16) | 25.29% ( -0.37) | 25.99% ( 0.21) |
Both teams to score 51.86% ( 1.3) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.89% ( 1.61) | 51.11% ( -1.61) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.04% ( 1.4) | 72.96% ( -1.39) |
Monza Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79% ( 0.73) | 21% ( -0.73) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.23% ( 1.12) | 53.77% ( -1.12) |
Torino Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.65% ( 1.05) | 34.35% ( -1.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.94% ( 1.1) | 71.06% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
Monza | Draw | Torino |
1-0 @ 11.25% ( -0.48) 2-1 @ 9.39% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.79% ( -0.18) 3-1 @ 4.88% ( 0.15) 3-0 @ 4.57% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.61% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 1.91% ( 0.1) 4-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.04) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( 0.08) Other @ 2.51% Total : 48.71% | 1-1 @ 12.02% ( -0.17) 0-0 @ 7.21% ( -0.48) 2-2 @ 5.02% ( 0.18) 3-3 @ 0.93% ( 0.08) Other @ 0.1% Total : 25.28% | 0-1 @ 7.71% ( -0.28) 1-2 @ 6.43% ( 0.09) 0-2 @ 4.12% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 2.29% ( 0.1) 2-3 @ 1.79% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.47% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.2% Total : 26% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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