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Serie A
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Serie A | Gameweek 9
Oct 22, 2023 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Olimpico
Monza

Roma
1 - 0
Monza

El Shaarawy (90')
Cristante (70'), Mancini (78')
Mourinho (90+11')
FT(HT: 0-0)

D'Ambrosio (23'), Pepin (45+1'), Pepin (45+2'), Palladino (87'), Gagliardini (90+7')
D'Ambrosio (41')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Roma and Monza, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Roma

All competitions
Serie A
Last Game: Cagliari 1-4 Roma
Sunday, October 8 at 5pm in Serie A

Monza

All competitions
Last Game: Monza 3-0 Salernitana
Sunday, October 8 at 11.30am in Serie A

We said: Roma 1-0 Monza

 Monza have scored only twice on the road this season - like Roma, they tend to thrive on home soil. Stadio Olimpico is never an easy place to visit, so the Biancorossi's momentum may be checked, as their hosts hand them a first defeat for over a month. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 63.15%. A draw had a probability of 20.4% and a win for Monza had a probability of 16.48%.

The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.06%) and 2-1 (9.93%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.6%), while for a Monza win it was 0-1 (4.64%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 10.1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Roma in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Roma.

Result
RomaDrawMonza
63.15% (0.076999999999998 0.08) 20.37% (-0.036999999999999 -0.04) 16.48% (-0.040999999999997 -0.04)
Both teams to score 53.69% (0.036000000000001 0.04)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.2% (0.091999999999999 0.09)41.79% (-0.092000000000006 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.8% (0.092999999999996 0.09)64.2% (-0.091999999999999 -0.09)
Roma Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.38% (0.049000000000007 0.05)12.61% (-0.048999999999999 -0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.27% (0.104 0.1)38.73% (-0.103 -0.1)
Monza Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
61.44% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)38.55% (-0.0060000000000002 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
24.69% (0.004999999999999 0)75.3% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Score Analysis
    Roma 63.14%
    Monza 16.48%
    Draw 20.37%
RomaDrawMonza
2-0 @ 10.42%
1-0 @ 10.06% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-1 @ 9.93% (-0.0010000000000012 -0)
3-0 @ 7.19% (0.012 0.01)
3-1 @ 6.86% (0.012 0.01)
4-0 @ 3.72% (0.013 0.01)
4-1 @ 3.55% (0.014 0.01)
3-2 @ 3.27% (0.0059999999999998 0.01)
4-2 @ 1.69% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
5-0 @ 1.54% (0.0090000000000001 0.01)
5-1 @ 1.47% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
Other @ 3.43%
Total : 63.14%
1-1 @ 9.6% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 4.86% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.73%
3-3 @ 1.04% (0.002 0)
Other @ 0.14%
Total : 20.37%
0-1 @ 4.64% (-0.018 -0.02)
1-2 @ 4.57% (-0.0089999999999995 -0.01)
0-2 @ 2.21% (-0.008 -0.01)
2-3 @ 1.5%
1-3 @ 1.45% (-0.002 -0)
Other @ 2.1%
Total : 16.48%

How you voted: Roma vs Monza

Roma
86.3%
Draw
10.0%
Monza
3.8%
80
Head to Head
May 3, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 33
Monza
1-1
Roma
Caldirola (39')
El Shaarawy (24')
> Preview
Aug 30, 2022 7.45pm
Gameweek 4
Roma
3-0
Monza
Dybala (18', 32'), Ibanez (61')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan37296287206793
2AC Milan37228773462774
3Bologna371814554302468
4Juventus371814552312168
5Atalanta BCAtalanta362061067392866
6Roma371891064442063
7Lazio371861348381060
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino371314103633353
10Napoli371313115548752
11Genoa371113134345-246
12Monza371112143949-1045
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona37910183649-1337
14Lecce37813163254-2237
15CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
16FrosinoneFrosinone37811184468-2435
17Udinese37519133653-1734
18Empoli3789202753-2633
RSassuoloSassuolo3778224274-3229
RSalernitana37210252978-4916
> Serie A Full Table


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