MX23RW : Monday, May 20 21:37:17| >> :60:1355:1355:
Armenia national football team
Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Jun 19, 2023 at 5pm UK
Armenia Football Academy grass
Latvia national football team

Armenia
2 - 1
Latvia

Tiknizyan (35'), Barseghyan (90+1' pen.)
Haroyan (10')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mkrtchyan (67' og.)
Saveljevs (18'), Jaunzems (51'), Uldrikis (81'), Tobers (89')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Monday's Euro Champ Qualifying clash between Armenia and Latvia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Wales 2-4 Armenia
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey306
2Croatia224
3Wales3-14
4Armenia213
5Latvia2-20
All competitions
Euro Champ Qualifying
Last Game: Latvia 2-3 Turkey
Friday, June 16 at 7.45pm in Euro Champ Qualifying
Current Group D Standings P GD PTS
1Turkey306
2Croatia224
3Wales3-14
4Armenia213
5Latvia2-20

We said: Armenia 2-1 Latvia

Latvia have lost both fixtures by one goal, and they could suffer a third loss on Monday, with Armenia anticipated to consolidate Friday's triumph by securing another success in Yerevan. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Armenia win with a probability of 43.93%. A win for Latvia had a probability of 34.36% and a draw had a probability of 21.7%.

The most likely scoreline for an Armenia win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.42%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (5.42%) and 1-0 (5.15%). The likeliest Latvia win was 1-2 (7.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.72%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with an 8.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Armenia in this match.

Result
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
43.93% (25.35 25.35) 21.71% (-0.624 -0.62) 34.36% (-24.731 -24.73)
Both teams to score 69.78% (18.352 18.35)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
70.16% (17.061 17.06)29.83% (-17.065 -17.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
49.01% (18.154 18.15)50.99% (-18.159 -18.16)
Armenia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.5% (24.624 24.62)14.5% (-24.63 -24.63)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
57.5% (33.34 33.34)42.49% (-33.346 -33.35)
Latvia Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.61% (-2.874 -2.87)18.38% (2.87 2.87)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.48% (-5.101 -5.1)49.52% (5.096 5.1)
Score Analysis
    Armenia 43.93%
    Latvia 34.36%
    Draw 21.71%
ArmeniaDrawLatvia
2-1 @ 8.42% (3.437 3.44)
3-1 @ 5.42% (3.86 3.86)
1-0 @ 5.15% (-0.549 -0.55)
2-0 @ 4.97% (2.297 2.3)
3-2 @ 4.59% (3.137 3.14)
3-0 @ 3.2% (2.363 2.36)
4-1 @ 2.62% (2.251 2.25)
4-2 @ 2.22% (1.875 1.88)
4-0 @ 1.54% (1.348 1.35)
4-3 @ 1.25% (1.039 1.04)
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.941 0.94)
Other @ 3.55%
Total : 43.93%
1-1 @ 8.72% (-1.893 -1.89)
2-2 @ 7.13% (2.489 2.49)
0-0 @ 2.66% (-3.405 -3.41)
3-3 @ 2.59% (1.689 1.69)
Other @ 0.61%
Total : 21.71%
1-2 @ 7.38% (-2.506 -2.51)
0-1 @ 4.51% (-6.797 -6.8)
1-3 @ 4.17% (-1.975 -1.98)
2-3 @ 4.03% (1.143 1.14)
0-2 @ 3.82% (-6.707 -6.71)
0-3 @ 2.16% (-4.388 -4.39)
1-4 @ 1.77% (-1.097 -1.1)
2-4 @ 1.71% (0.362 0.36)
3-4 @ 1.1% (0.677 0.68)
0-4 @ 0.91% (-2.136 -2.14)
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 34.36%

How you voted: Armenia vs Latvia

Armenia
79.2%
Draw
13.9%
Latvia
6.9%
72
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
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2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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