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Premier League | Gameweek 7
Sep 30, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Villa Park
Brighton logo

Aston Villa
6 - 1
Brighton

Watkins (14', 21', 65'), Estupinan (26' og.), Ramsey (85'), Luiz (90+7')
Luiz (7'), Digne (32'), Konsa (57'), Duran (90+5')
FT(HT: 3-0)
Fati (50')
Welbeck (39'), Fati (72'), Dunk (79'), Mitoma (84')

The Match

Match Report

Aston Villa beat Brighton & Hove Albion 6-1 to go 10 wins in a row at Villa Park.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Aston Villa and Brighton & Hove Albion, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Aston Villa win with a probability of 40.93%. A win for Brighton & Hove Albion had a probability of 35.31% and a draw had a probability of 23.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Aston Villa win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.72%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.23%) and 2-0 (5.85%). The likeliest Brighton & Hove Albion win was 1-2 (8.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.77%). The actual scoreline of 6-1 was predicted with a 0.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Aston Villa would win this match.

Result
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
40.93% (0.011000000000003 0.01) 23.76% (0.0010000000000012 0) 35.31% (-0.011000000000003 -0.01)
Both teams to score 62.11% (-0.010000000000005 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
60.08% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01)39.92% (0.011000000000003 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.71% (-0.012 -0.01)62.28% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Aston Villa Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.2%19.8%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.13%51.87%
Brighton & Hove Albion Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.45% (-0.010999999999996 -0.01)22.54% (0.010000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
43.87% (-0.017000000000003 -0.02)56.13% (0.015999999999998 0.02)
Score Analysis
    Aston Villa 40.93%
    Brighton & Hove Albion 35.31%
    Draw 23.76%
Aston VillaDrawBrighton & Hove Albion
2-1 @ 8.72% (0.0010000000000012 0)
1-0 @ 7.23% (0.0040000000000004 0)
2-0 @ 5.85% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 4.71% (0.00099999999999945 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-0 @ 3.16% (0.0020000000000002 0)
4-1 @ 1.91% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-2 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-0 @ 1.28%
Other @ 3.15%
Total : 40.93%
1-1 @ 10.77% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-2 @ 6.5% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.46% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-3 @ 1.74% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.29%
Total : 23.76%
1-2 @ 8.02% (-0.0019999999999989 -0)
0-1 @ 6.65% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-2 @ 4.95% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
1-3 @ 3.98% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 3.23% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
0-3 @ 2.46% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-4 @ 1.48% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
2-4 @ 1.2% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-4 @ 0.92% (-0.001 -0)
Other @ 2.42%
Total : 35.31%

How you voted: Aston Villa vs Brighton

Aston Villa
35.5%
Draw
29.8%
Brighton & Hove Albion
34.8%
141
Head to Head
May 28, 2023 4.30pm
Gameweek 38
Aston Villa
2-1
Brighton
Luiz (8'), Watkins (26')
Cash (22'), Ramsey (24'), Mings (37'), McGinn (67')
Undav (38')
Undav (12'), Buonanotte (63'), Caicedo (73'), Gross (88')
Dec 8, 2022 1pm
Club Friendlies
Aston Villa
2-2
Brighton
Ings (67'), Raikhy (85')
Undav (75', 81')
Nov 13, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 16
Brighton
1-2
Aston Villa
Ings (20' pen., 54')
Feb 26, 2022 3.30pm
Gameweek 27
Brighton
0-2
Aston Villa

Cucurella (16'), Trossard (25'), Bissouma (57'), Veltman (58')
Cash (17'), Watkins (68')
Cash (19'), Luiz (25'), Mings (40'), Watkins (40'), Martinez (83')
Nov 20, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 12
Aston Villa
2-0
Brighton
Watkins (84'), Mings (89')
Nakamba (59'), Konsa (90+3'), Cash (90+4')

Cucurella (49'), Webster (67'), Mac Allister (90+3')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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