MX23RW : Saturday, September 21 01:08:20| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 12
Oct 17, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Jenner Park

Barry
2 - 0
Pontypridd

Bright (14'), McLaggon (29')
Patten (4'), McLaggon (21'), Sainty (22'), Hulbert (52'), Veale (61'), Bright (68')
FT(HT: 2-0)

Wright (22'), Shepherd (50'), Rees (89')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Barry Town United and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barry Town United

All competitions
Last Game: Cardiff MU 2-1 Barry
Friday, October 6 at 7.45pm in Welsh Premier League

Pontypridd Town AFC

All competitions
Last Game: Pontypridd 2-0 Haverfordwest
Saturday, October 7 at 5.15pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barry Town United win with a probability of 49.45%. A win for Pontypridd Town AFC had a probability of 27.52% and a draw had a probability of 23%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barry Town United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.11%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Pontypridd Town AFC win was 1-2 (6.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.51%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barry Town United would win this match.

Result
Barry Town UnitedDrawPontypridd Town AFC
49.45% (0.843 0.84) 23.03% (-0.097000000000001 -0.1) 27.52% (-0.749 -0.75)
Both teams to score 60.72% (-0.272 -0.27)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
59.95% (-0.094999999999999 -0.09)40.04% (0.091999999999999 0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
37.59% (-0.096999999999994 -0.1)62.41% (0.094000000000001 0.09)
Barry Town United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
83.59% (0.27200000000001 0.27)16.41% (-0.274 -0.27)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
53.93% (0.492 0.49)46.07% (-0.494 -0.49)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.64% (-0.566 -0.57)27.36% (0.564 0.56)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
37.18% (-0.739 -0.74)62.82% (0.737 0.74)
Score Analysis
    Barry Town United 49.45%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 27.52%
    Draw 23.02%
Barry Town UnitedDrawPontypridd Town AFC
2-1 @ 9.5% (0.064 0.06)
1-0 @ 8.11% (0.108 0.11)
2-0 @ 7.33% (0.165 0.17)
3-1 @ 5.73% (0.09 0.09)
3-0 @ 4.42% (0.138 0.14)
3-2 @ 3.71%
4-1 @ 2.59% (0.064 0.06)
4-0 @ 2% (0.081 0.08)
4-2 @ 1.68% (0.015 0.01)
5-1 @ 0.94% (0.032 0.03)
Other @ 3.45%
Total : 49.45%
1-1 @ 10.51% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
2-2 @ 6.16% (-0.057 -0.06)
0-0 @ 4.49% (0.019 0.02)
3-3 @ 1.6% (-0.026 -0.03)
Other @ 0.26%
Total : 23.02%
1-2 @ 6.82% (-0.127 -0.13)
0-1 @ 5.82% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-2 @ 3.77% (-0.106 -0.11)
1-3 @ 2.94% (-0.103 -0.1)
2-3 @ 2.66% (-0.068 -0.07)
0-3 @ 1.63% (-0.073 -0.07)
1-4 @ 0.95% (-0.049 -0.05)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 27.52%

Head to Head
Sep 2, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 5
Pontypridd
1-0
Barry
Ahmun (19' pen.)
Vaughan (42'), Ahmun (88')
Vaughan (77')

Sainty (18'), McLaggon (22'), Tomlinson (58'), Hulbert (82'), Cotterill (86')
rhs 2.0
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