Still, with the ninth month of the season approaching, nobody has been able to get the better of Leverkusen, and in match number 39 of the season, another win is expected from the champions-elect.
With just one win in their last nine away, and 22 games without a clean sheet, Hoffenheim are unlikely to end Leverkusen's excellent run, but they may give the league leaders a scare or two at the back.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 83.74%. A draw had a probability of 10.5% and a win for Hoffenheim had a probability of 5.77%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.7%) and 4-0 (8.17%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (4.72%), while for a Hoffenheim win it was 1-2 (1.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayer Leverkusen would win this match.
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