MX23RW : Thursday, October 31 22:56:26| >> :300:86500:86500:
Welsh Premier League | Gameweek 8
Sep 23, 2023 at 5.15pm UK
The Oval

Caernarfon
1 - 0
Pontypridd

Mooney (84')
Cartwright (45+2'), Bradley (86'), Davies (90')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Shepherd (25'), Margetson (69'), Leo Martins (75')
Coverage of the Welsh Premier League clash between Caernarfon Town and Pontypridd United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Pen-y-Bont 3-2 Caernarfon
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League
Last Game: Pontypridd 0-0 Bala Town
Saturday, September 16 at 2.30pm in Welsh Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Pontypridd Town AFC win with a probability of 51.46%. A win for Caernarfon Town had a probability of 24.39% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Pontypridd Town AFC win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.58%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.65%) and 0-2 (8.92%). The likeliest Caernarfon Town win was 1-0 (6.8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.45%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood.

Result
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
24.39% (-1.002 -1) 24.15% (-0.215 -0.22) 51.46% (1.216 1.22)
Both teams to score 53.86% (-0.33300000000001 -0.33)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
52.27% (0.048000000000002 0.05)47.73% (-0.049999999999997 -0.05)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
30.08% (0.042999999999999 0.04)69.92% (-0.044999999999987 -0.04)
Caernarfon Town Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.12% (-0.819 -0.82)33.88% (0.817 0.82)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
29.45% (-0.895 -0.9)70.55% (0.89399999999999 0.89)
Pontypridd Town AFC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
81.45% (0.497 0.5)18.54% (-0.499 -0.5)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
50.21% (0.832 0.83)49.79% (-0.834 -0.83)
Score Analysis
    Caernarfon Town 24.39%
    Pontypridd Town AFC 51.45%
    Draw 24.15%
Caernarfon TownDrawPontypridd Town AFC
1-0 @ 6.8% (-0.168 -0.17)
2-1 @ 6.2% (-0.194 -0.19)
2-0 @ 3.68% (-0.176 -0.18)
3-1 @ 2.24% (-0.122 -0.12)
3-2 @ 1.89% (-0.072 -0.07)
3-0 @ 1.33% (-0.095 -0.1)
Other @ 2.26%
Total : 24.39%
1-1 @ 11.45% (-0.1 -0.1)
0-0 @ 6.28% (-0.013 -0.01)
2-2 @ 5.22% (-0.079 -0.08)
3-3 @ 1.06% (-0.023 -0.02)
Other @ 0.13%
Total : 24.15%
0-1 @ 10.58% (0.14 0.14)
1-2 @ 9.65% (0.071 0.07)
0-2 @ 8.92% (0.26 0.26)
1-3 @ 5.42% (0.124 0.12)
0-3 @ 5.01% (0.223 0.22)
2-3 @ 2.93% (0.0020000000000002 0)
1-4 @ 2.28% (0.087 0.09)
0-4 @ 2.11% (0.125 0.13)
2-4 @ 1.24% (0.02 0.02)
Other @ 3.3%
Total : 51.45%

Head to Head
Apr 15, 2023 2.30pm
Gameweek 9
Caernarfon
1-2
Pontypridd
Wynne (59')
Simpson (50' og.), Cummings (72')
Mar 11, 2023 2.30pm
Oct 1, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 10
Pontypridd
3-1
Caernarfon
Evans (37'), Wright (74'), Williams (90+5')
Thomas (60')
Aug 20, 2022 2.30pm
Gameweek 2
Caernarfon
2-0
Pontypridd
Bradley (62'), Faux (65')
Cartwright (33'), Gosset (68')

Woodiwiss (30')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Pen-y-BontPen-y-Bont149412471731
2The New SaintsNew Saints1290335122327
3Haverfordwest CountyHaverfordwest147521551026
4Cardiff MUCardiff MU147342016424
5Barry Town UnitedBarry146442122-122
6Caernarfon TownCaernarfon146352119221
7Bala TownBala Town144731915419
8Newtown AFCNewtown145362030-1018
9Connah's Quay NomadsConnah's Quay144461715216
10Flint Town UnitedFlint Town143291627-1111
11Aberystwyth TownAberystwyth1421111134-237
12Briton Ferry121291128-175


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