Brasileiro | Gameweek 24
Sep 23, 2023 at 12am UK
Arena Corinthians
Corinthians1 - 0Botafogo
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Corinthians and Botafogo.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Corinthians 4-4 Gremio
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Tuesday, September 19 at 1am in Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 1-0 Botafogo
Sunday, September 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Sunday, September 17 at 1am in Brasileiro
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Corinthians win with a probability of 42.69%. A win for Botafogo had a probability of 29.4% and a draw had a probability of 27.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Corinthians win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.44%) and 2-0 (8.25%). The likeliest Botafogo win was 0-1 (10.08%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Corinthians in this match.
Result | ||
Corinthians | Draw | Botafogo |
42.69% ( -0.5) | 27.91% ( -0.19) | 29.4% ( 0.7) |
Both teams to score 46.5% ( 0.88) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
40.86% ( 0.95) | 59.14% ( -0.95) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
20.42% ( 0.72) | 79.58% ( -0.72) |
Corinthians Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.59% ( 0.18) | 27.41% ( -0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.11% ( 0.23) | 62.89% ( -0.23) |
Botafogo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.06% ( 1.06) | 35.94% ( -1.06) |