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AFC Wimbledon
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Barrow
Bradford City
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Carlisle United
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Chesterfield
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Walsall
Forest Green Rovers
League Two | Gameweek 15
Oct 24, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
The New Lawn
Barrow

Forest Green
0 - 2
Barrow


Omotoye (58'), Robson (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-2)
Foley (4'), Telford (18')
Ray (49')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Forest Green Rovers and Barrow, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Barrow 0-0 AFC Wimbledon
Saturday, October 21 at 3pm in League Two

We said: Forest Green Rovers 2-1 Barrow

Forest Green were excellent against Colchester last time out, and if they can find a similar performance here, it is likely to be too much for Barrow. It would not be a surprise to see a draw here, or indeed a Barrow win, but we just have a feeling that the hosts will edge this contest. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barrow win with a probability of 40.09%. A win for Forest Green Rovers had a probability of 33.89% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barrow win was 0-1 with a probability of 9.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.61%) and 0-2 (6.84%). The likeliest Forest Green Rovers win was 1-0 (8.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.36%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 6.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barrow would win this match.

Result
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
33.89% (-0.539 -0.54) 26.01% (-0.258 -0.26) 40.09% (0.794 0.79)
Both teams to score 53.86% (0.735 0.73)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
49.49% (0.991 0.99)50.5% (-0.991 -0.99)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
27.57% (0.867 0.87)72.43% (-0.869 -0.87)
Forest Green Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.63% (0.14500000000001 0.15)28.36% (-0.146 -0.15)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.89% (0.184 0.18)64.1% (-0.185 -0.19)
Barrow Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
75.18% (0.873 0.87)24.82% (-0.875 -0.88)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
40.59% (1.201 1.2)59.4% (-1.203 -1.2)
Score Analysis
    Forest Green Rovers 33.9%
    Barrow 40.09%
    Draw 26.01%
Forest Green RoversDrawBarrow
1-0 @ 8.87% (-0.322 -0.32)
2-1 @ 7.79% (-0.05 -0.05)
2-0 @ 5.59% (-0.179 -0.18)
3-1 @ 3.27% (-0.0070000000000001 -0.01)
3-0 @ 2.35% (-0.065 -0.07)
3-2 @ 2.28% (0.051 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.03% (0.002 0)
Other @ 2.72%
Total : 33.9%
1-1 @ 12.36% (-0.13 -0.13)
0-0 @ 7.04% (-0.286 -0.29)
2-2 @ 5.43% (0.101 0.1)
3-3 @ 1.06% (0.05 0.05)
Other @ 0.12%
Total : 26.01%
0-1 @ 9.81% (-0.145 -0.15)
1-2 @ 8.61% (0.125 0.13)
0-2 @ 6.84% (0.072 0.07)
1-3 @ 4% (0.156 0.16)
0-3 @ 3.18% (0.112 0.11)
2-3 @ 2.52% (0.108 0.11)
1-4 @ 1.39% (0.088 0.09)
0-4 @ 1.11% (0.065 0.07)
Other @ 2.63%
Total : 40.09%

How you voted: Forest Green vs Barrow

Forest Green Rovers
55.6%
Draw
11.1%
Barrow
33.3%
9
Head to Head
Apr 15, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 42
Barrow
4-0
Forest Green
Grayson (5'), Rooney (38'), Platt (53'), Amadi-Holloway (90+2')
Gotts (43'), Gordon (70'), Amadi-Holloway (74')

Cadden (28'), March (36'), Adams (75')
Nov 23, 2021 7.45pm
Gameweek 18
Forest Green
2-0
Barrow
Stevens (61', 83')

Kay (28'), Brough (57')
Apr 27, 2021 7pm
Gameweek 29
Forest Green
0-2
Barrow

Cargill (45+1'), Adams (48'), Stokes (51'), Bernard (76')
Quigley (18' pen.), Thomas (25')
Beadling (72')
Nov 21, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 13
Barrow
2-2
Forest Green
James (73'), Angus (82' pen.)
Taylor (71')
Whitehouse (52'), Cadden (90+6')
Moore-Taylor (62'), Kitching (87')
Jan 28, 2017 3pm
Barrow
2-3
Forest Green
Bennett (33'), Hannah (88')
Harvey (22'), Livesey (23'), Bennett (43'), Hannah (75'), Rowe (88')
Noble (6'), Doidge (64'), Marsh-Brown (94')
Ellis (23'), Cooper (76'), Wishart (85'), Noble (88')
rhs 2.0
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale159332316730
2Walsall1483327151227
3Notts County1576223131027
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster158342117427
5Crewe AlexandraCrewe147431713425
6MK Dons157352417724
7Grimsby Town158071925-624
8Gillingham157261612423
9Chesterfield1557328181022
10Bradford CityBradford156452016422
11BarrowBarrow156451612422
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
13Salford City155551417-320
14AFC Wimbledon126151810819
15Newport CountyNewport156181926-719
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham155371922-318
17Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
18Accrington StanleyAccrington144461822-416
19Bromley143651618-215
20Harrogate TownHarrogate154381221-915
21Colchester UnitedColchester142751721-413
22Swindon TownSwindon152671623-712
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1532101328-1511
24Morecambe152491426-1210


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