Serie A | Gameweek 22
Jan 28, 2024 at 11.30am UK
Stadio Comunale Luigi Ferraris
Genoa2 - 1Lecce
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Salernitana 1-2 Genoa
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 21 at 5pm in Serie A
Last Game: Lecce 0-3 Juventus
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Sunday, January 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
We said: Genoa 2-1 Lecce
Four of Genoa's last six Serie A strikes have come courtesy of dead-ball situations, while Lecce conceded their eighth headed goal last weekend - a league high in that category. Even if the home side cannot break through in general play, they could therefore make the most of their set-pieces. Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Genoa win with a probability of 52.61%. A draw had a probability of 26.4% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 21.03%.
The most likely scoreline for a Genoa win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.87%) and 2-1 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.17%), while for a Lecce win it was 0-1 (8.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Genoa in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Genoa.
| Result | ||
| Genoa | Draw | Lecce |
52.61% ( 0.01) | 26.36% ( 0) | 21.03% ( -0.01) |
| Both teams to score 43.65% ( -0.01) |
| Goals |
| Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
