Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Kidderminster Harriers win with a probability of 48.43%. A win for Fylde had a probability of 27.06% and a draw had a probability of 24.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Kidderminster Harriers win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.48%) and 2-0 (8.18%). The likeliest Fylde win was 0-1 (7.1%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
48.43% ( 1.03) | 24.52% ( -0.18) | 27.06% ( -0.86) |
Both teams to score 55.22% ( -0.11) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
52.88% ( 0.17) | 47.13% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
30.64% ( 0.16) | 69.36% ( -0.16) |
Kidderminster Harriers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.48% ( 0.5) | 19.52% ( -0.5) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.59% ( 0.81) | 51.41% ( -0.81) |
Fylde Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.61% ( -0.56) | 31.39% ( 0.56) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.24% ( -0.66) | 67.76% ( 0.66) |
Score Analysis |
Kidderminster Harriers | Draw | Fylde |
1-0 @ 10.01% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 9.48% ( 0.08) 2-0 @ 8.18% ( 0.19) 3-1 @ 5.16% ( 0.12) 3-0 @ 4.45% ( 0.17) 3-2 @ 2.99% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.11% ( 0.08) 4-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.1) 4-2 @ 1.22% ( 0.03) Other @ 3.02% Total : 48.43% | 1-1 @ 11.59% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 6.13% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 5.49% ( -0.04) 3-3 @ 1.16% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.15% Total : 24.51% | 0-1 @ 7.1% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 6.72% ( -0.15) 0-2 @ 4.11% ( -0.16) 1-3 @ 2.6% ( -0.1) 2-3 @ 2.12% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.59% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.82% Total : 27.06% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Chesterfield | 46 | 31 | 5 | 10 | 106 | 65 | 41 | 98 |
2 | Barnet | 46 | 26 | 8 | 12 | 91 | 60 | 31 | 86 |
3 | Bromley | 46 | 22 | 15 | 9 | 73 | 49 | 24 | 81 |
4 | AltrinchamAltrincham | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 84 | 59 | 25 | 77 |
5 | Solihull MoorsSolihull | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 76 |
6 | Gateshead | 46 | 22 | 9 | 15 | 88 | 64 | 24 | 75 |
7 | Halifax TownHalifax | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 58 | 50 | 8 | 71 |
8 | Aldershot TownAldershot | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 74 | 83 | -9 | 69 |
9 | Southend UnitedSouthend | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 45 | 25 | 65 |
10 | Oldham AthleticOldham | 46 | 15 | 18 | 13 | 63 | 60 | 3 | 63 |
11 | Rochdale | 46 | 16 | 14 | 16 | 69 | 64 | 5 | 62 |
12 | Hartlepool UnitedHartlepool | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 70 | 82 | -12 | 60 |
13 | Eastleigh | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 73 | 87 | -14 | 59 |
14 | Maidenhead UnitedMaidenhead | 46 | 15 | 13 | 18 | 60 | 67 | -7 | 58 |
15 | Dagenham & RedbridgeDag & Red | 46 | 14 | 14 | 18 | 69 | 63 | 6 | 56 |
16 | WealdstoneWealdstone | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 60 | 72 | -12 | 56 |
17 | Woking | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 55 |
18 | Fylde | 46 | 15 | 10 | 21 | 74 | 82 | -8 | 55 |
19 | Ebbsfleet | 46 | 14 | 12 | 20 | 59 | 74 | -15 | 54 |
20 | York City | 46 | 12 | 17 | 17 | 55 | 69 | -14 | 53 |
21 | Boreham WoodBoreham Wood | 46 | 12 | 16 | 18 | 59 | 73 | -14 | 52 |
22 | Kidderminster HarriersKidderminster | 46 | 11 | 13 | 22 | 40 | 59 | -19 | 46 |
23 | Dorking WanderersDorking | 46 | 12 | 9 | 25 | 54 | 85 | -31 | 45 |
24 | Oxford CityOxford City | 46 | 8 | 9 | 29 | 54 | 94 | -40 | 33 |
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