Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lazio win with a probability of 44.25%. A draw had a probability of 28.7% and a win for Bologna had a probability of 27.05%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lazio win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.22%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.27%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.09%), while for a Bologna win it was 0-1 (10.36%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
44.25% ( -1.31) | 28.7% ( 0.54) | 27.05% ( 0.78) |
Both teams to score 43.15% ( -0.86) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
37.29% ( -1.34) | 62.71% ( 1.34) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.74% ( -0.98) | 82.26% ( 0.99) |
Lazio Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.72% ( -1.32) | 28.28% ( 1.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36% ( -1.7) | 64% ( 1.71) |
Bologna Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.17% ( -0.08) | 39.83% ( 0.08) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.5% ( -0.07) | 76.49% ( 0.08) |
Score Analysis |
Lazio | Draw | Bologna |
1-0 @ 14.22% ( 0.18) 2-0 @ 8.98% ( -0.22) 2-1 @ 8.27% ( -0.22) 3-0 @ 3.78% ( -0.24) 3-1 @ 3.48% ( -0.23) 3-2 @ 1.6% ( -0.11) 4-0 @ 1.19% ( -0.13) 4-1 @ 1.1% ( -0.12) Other @ 1.61% Total : 44.24% | 1-1 @ 13.09% ( 0.14) 0-0 @ 11.26% ( 0.55) 2-2 @ 3.81% ( -0.11) Other @ 0.53% Total : 28.69% | 0-1 @ 10.36% ( 0.48) 1-2 @ 6.03% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 4.77% ( 0.21) 1-3 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1.46% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 1.17% ( -0.04) Other @ 1.4% Total : 27.04% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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