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EFL Cup
Newcastle logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 27, 2023 at 8pm UK
St. James' Park
Manchester City logo

Newcastle
1 - 0
Man City

Isak (53')
Guimaraes (69'), Tonali (82')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Akanji (65'), Phillips (66'), Guardiola (78')

The Match

Match Report

Alexander Isak nets a second-half winner as Newcastle United condemn Manchester City to a third-round exit in the EFL Cup.

Team News

Sports Mole rounds up all of the latest injury and suspension news ahead of Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City.

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Newcastle United and Manchester City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Predicted Lineups

Sports Mole looks at how Manchester City could line up for Wednesday's EFL Cup showdown with Newcastle at St James' Park.

Injuries & Suspensions

Sports Mole rounds up Manchester City's injury and suspension news ahead of their EFL Cup clash with Newcastle United.

Form, Standings, Stats

Newcastle United

All competitions
Last Game: Sheff Utd 0-8 Newcastle
Sunday, September 24 at 4.30pm in Premier League

Manchester City

All competitions
Last Game: Man City 2-0 Nott'm Forest
Saturday, September 23 at 3pm in Premier League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Manchester City win with a probability of 46.99%. A win for Newcastle United had a probability of 28.64% and a draw had a probability of 24.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Manchester City win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.35%) and 0-2 (7.65%). The likeliest Newcastle United win was 2-1 (7.02%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood.

Result
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
28.64% (-0.243 -0.24) 24.38% (0.042000000000002 0.04) 46.99% (0.205 0.2)
Both teams to score 56.89% (-0.302 -0.3)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.53% (-0.322 -0.32)45.47% (0.326 0.33)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
32.2% (-0.308 -0.31)67.81% (0.313 0.31)
Newcastle United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
70.64% (-0.33399999999999 -0.33)29.36% (0.338 0.34)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
34.66% (-0.414 -0.41)65.34% (0.41800000000001 0.42)
Manchester City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
80.54% (-0.042999999999992 -0.04)19.46% (0.046999999999997 0.05)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
48.69% (-0.074000000000005 -0.07)51.31% (0.077000000000005 0.08)
Score Analysis
    Newcastle United 28.64%
    Manchester City 46.99%
    Draw 24.38%
Newcastle UnitedDrawManchester City
2-1 @ 7.02% (-0.044 -0.04)
1-0 @ 7% (0.032 0.03)
2-0 @ 4.29% (-0.021 -0.02)
3-1 @ 2.87% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-2 @ 2.35% (-0.041 -0.04)
3-0 @ 1.75% (-0.025 -0.03)
Other @ 3.35%
Total : 28.64%
1-1 @ 11.46% (0.040000000000001 0.04)
2-2 @ 5.75% (-0.044 -0.04)
0-0 @ 5.71% (0.079 0.08)
3-3 @ 1.28% (-0.024 -0.02)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.38%
1-2 @ 9.38% (0.016 0.02)
0-1 @ 9.35% (0.116 0.12)
0-2 @ 7.65% (0.085 0.09)
1-3 @ 5.12% (0.0020000000000007 0)
0-3 @ 4.18% (0.04 0.04)
2-3 @ 3.14% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-4 @ 2.09% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
0-4 @ 1.71% (0.014 0.01)
2-4 @ 1.28% (-0.014 -0.01)
Other @ 3.08%
Total : 46.99%

How you voted: Newcastle vs Man City

Newcastle United
22.2%
Draw
9.5%
Manchester City
68.3%
189
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> Match Report
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> Match Report
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3-3
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> Preview
May 8, 2022 4.30pm
Gameweek 36
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> Preview
Dec 19, 2021 2pm
Gameweek 18
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> Preview
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Arsenal36265588286083
2Manchester CityMan City35257387335482
3Liverpool36239481384378
4Aston Villa36207973532067
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs351861169581160
6Newcastle UnitedNewcastle351751378562256
7Chelsea351591170591154
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd35166135255-354
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham361310135670-1449
10Bournemouth36139145263-1148
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton351211125357-447
12Wolverhampton WanderersWolves36137164960-1146
13Fulham36128165155-444
14Crystal Palace361110154957-843
15Everton36129153849-1137
16Brentford3699185260-836
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3689194563-1829
18Luton TownLuton3668224978-2926
19Burnley3659223974-3524
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd36372635100-6516
> Premier League Full Table


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