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Olympiacos
Europa Conference League | Knockout Round Playoffs | 1st Leg
Feb 15, 2024 at 5.45pm UK
Stadio Georgios Karaiskaki
Ferencvaros

Olympiacos
1 - 0
Ferencvaros

El Kaabi (83')
Alexandropoulos (51'), Carmo (60')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Makreckis (37'), Wingo (77'), Stankovic (86'), Ali Ben Romdhane (90')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Europa Conference League clash between Olympiacos and Ferencvaros, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Olympiacos 4-0 OFI Crete
Saturday, February 10 at 3.30pm in Greek Superleague
Last Game: Debrecen 1-2 Ferencvaros
Saturday, February 10 at 4.30pm in Hungarian NB I

We said: Olympiacos 2-1 Ferencvaros

With Olympiacos without a permanent manager, Ferencvaros will sense an opportunity to cause a surprise in Greece. Nevertheless, this remains a quality side on the back of their January transfer business, leading us to predict a hard-earned home victory. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Olympiacos win with a probability of 52.78%. A win for Ferencvaros had a probability of 24.37% and a draw had a probability of 22.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Olympiacos win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.02%) and 2-0 (8.28%). The likeliest Ferencvaros win was 1-2 (6.25%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.61%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Olympiacos would win this match.

Result
OlympiacosDrawFerencvaros
52.78% (0.010000000000005 0.01) 22.85% (-0.0020000000000024 -0) 24.37% (-0.012 -0.01)
Both teams to score 58.17% (-0.012 -0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.99% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)42.01% (0.0050000000000026 0.01)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.59% (-0.0080000000000027 -0.01)64.41% (0.0050000000000097 0.01)
Olympiacos Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
84.05% (-0.0010000000000048 -0)15.94% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
54.78% (0.0019999999999953 0)45.22% (-0.0059999999999931 -0.01)
Ferencvaros Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.2% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)30.8% (0.013000000000002 0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.93% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02)67.07% (0.013999999999996 0.01)
Score Analysis
    Olympiacos 52.78%
    Ferencvaros 24.37%
    Draw 22.84%
OlympiacosDrawFerencvaros
2-1 @ 9.75% (0.00099999999999945 0)
1-0 @ 9.02% (0.0030000000000001 0)
2-0 @ 8.28% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-1 @ 5.97% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-0 @ 5.07% (0.0020000000000007 0)
3-2 @ 3.51% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 2.74%
4-0 @ 2.33% (0.0010000000000003 0)
4-2 @ 1.61%
5-1 @ 1.01% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 3.51%
Total : 52.78%
1-1 @ 10.61%
2-2 @ 5.74% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
0-0 @ 4.91% (0.0010000000000003 0)
3-3 @ 1.38% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
Other @ 0.2%
Total : 22.84%
1-2 @ 6.25% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
0-1 @ 5.78% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 3.41% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
1-3 @ 2.46% (-0.0019999999999998 -0)
2-3 @ 2.25% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
0-3 @ 1.34% (-0.0010000000000001 -0)
Other @ 2.88%
Total : 24.37%

How you voted: Olympiacos vs Ferencvaros

Olympiacos
68.4%
Draw
16.3%
Ferencvaros
15.3%
98
rhs 2.0
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