Amid two managerial alterations, Poland's on-field activities have left something to be desired in 2023, but the Eagles will surely close out a challenging year on a high note.
Barring one success over Armenia, performances and goals have been hard to come by for Latvia in recent months, and even if Probierz does shuffle his resources, Poland should emerge triumphant in routine fashion.
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Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Poland win with a probability of 64.24%. A draw had a probability of 22.1% and a win for Latvia had a probability of 13.65%.
The most likely scoreline for a Poland win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.81%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (13.42%) and 2-1 (9.29%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.24%), while for a Latvia win it was 0-1 (5.65%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Poland would win this match.
-0.22) 
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