Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a New York Red Bulls win with a probability of 56.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.8% and a win for New England Revolution had a probability of 19.88%.
The most likely scoreline for a New York Red Bulls win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.33%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.6%) and 2-1 (9.71%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a New England Revolution win it was 0-1 (6.57%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that New York Red Bulls would win this match.
Result | ||
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
56.35% ( 0.04) | 23.76% ( 0) | 19.88% ( -0.04) |
Both teams to score 49.2% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.01% ( -0.06) | 50.98% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.15% ( -0.05) | 72.85% ( 0.05) |
New York Red Bulls Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.08% ( -0.01) | 17.92% ( 0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.27% ( -0.02) | 48.72% ( 0.02) |
New England Revolution Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.94% ( -0.07) | 40.05% ( 0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
23.3% ( -0.07) | 76.7% ( 0.07) |
Score Analysis |
New York Red Bulls | Draw | New England Revolution |
1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 10.6% ( 0.02) 2-1 @ 9.71% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.08% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 5.56% ( -0) 4-0 @ 2.61% ( 0) 3-2 @ 2.55% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.39% ( -0) 4-2 @ 1.09% ( -0) Other @ 3.41% Total : 56.33% | 1-1 @ 11.29% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 4.44% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.86% Total : 23.76% | 0-1 @ 6.57% ( 0) 1-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 3% ( -0) 1-3 @ 1.58% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 0.92% ( -0) Other @ 1.3% Total : 19.88% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 29 | 22 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 14 | 3 | 1 | 10 | 11 | 27 | -16 | 10 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 15 | 8 | 4 | 3 | 27 | 20 | 7 | 28 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 17 | 5 | 5 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 20 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 15 | 3 | 8 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 17 |
12 | Dallas | 15 | 3 | 4 | 8 | 17 | 24 | -7 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 16 | 2 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 31 | -7 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |