Home > Football > League One
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 50.29%. A win for Shrewsbury Town had a probability of 26.02% and a draw had a probability of 23.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9.4%) and 0-2 (8.14%). The likeliest Shrewsbury Town win was 2-1 (6.56%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.1%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11.1% likelihood.
Result | ||
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
26.02% ( -0.91) | 23.69% ( -0.45) | 50.29% ( 1.37) |
Both teams to score 57.05% ( 0.7) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.72% ( 1.3) | 44.28% ( -1.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.34% ( 1.25) | 66.65% ( -1.25) |
Shrewsbury Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.31% ( -0.02) | 30.69% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.06% ( -0.02) | 66.94% ( 0.02) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
82.31% ( 1.03) | 17.68% ( -1.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
51.67% ( 1.76) | 48.32% ( -1.76) |
Score Analysis |
Shrewsbury Town | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 6.56% ( -0.16) 1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.37) 2-0 @ 3.79% ( -0.22) 3-1 @ 2.58% ( -0.06) 3-2 @ 2.24% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 1.49% ( -0.09) Other @ 2.95% Total : 26.02% | 1-1 @ 11.1% ( -0.26) 2-2 @ 5.68% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 5.43% ( -0.31) 3-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.18% Total : 23.68% | 1-2 @ 9.62% ( 0.1) 0-1 @ 9.4% ( -0.22) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( 0.08) 1-3 @ 5.56% ( 0.24) 0-3 @ 4.7% ( 0.2) 2-3 @ 3.28% ( 0.14) 1-4 @ 2.41% ( 0.18) 0-4 @ 2.04% ( 0.15) 2-4 @ 1.42% ( 0.1) Other @ 3.71% Total : 50.29% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |