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Serie A | Gameweek 19
Jan 7, 2024 at 2pm UK
Stadio Olimpico Grande Torino
Napoli logo

Torino
3 - 0
Napoli

Sanabria (43'), Vlasic (52'), Buongiorno (66')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Zielinski (37'), Jesus (61')
Mazzocchi (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Torino and Napoli, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Fiorentina 1-0 Torino
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A
Last Game: Napoli 0-0 Monza
Friday, December 29 at 5.30pm in Serie A

We said: Torino 1-0 Napoli

As Torino rarely concede on home soil and Napoli were unable to buy a goal over the festive period - and have since lost several key players - it will surely be a low-scoring encounter between the two clubs. One moment of magic - or even madness - could separate them at the final whistle. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Napoli win with a probability of 37.45%. A win for Torino had a probability of 35.69% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Napoli win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.27%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.17%) and 0-2 (6.57%). The likeliest Torino win was 1-0 (9.98%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.76%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted that Torino would win this match.

Result
TorinoDrawNapoli
35.69% (0.045000000000002 0.05) 26.86% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 37.45% (-0.032999999999994 -0.03)
Both teams to score 51.33% (0.052999999999997 0.05)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
46.17% (0.064 0.06)53.83% (-0.068999999999996 -0.07)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.7% (0.053000000000001 0.05)75.3% (-0.057000000000002 -0.06)
Torino Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
71.12% (0.061000000000007 0.06)28.87% (-0.065000000000001 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
35.26% (0.076000000000001 0.08)64.74% (-0.078999999999994 -0.08)
Napoli Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
72.17% (0.010000000000005 0.01)27.82% (-0.013999999999999 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
36.58% (0.015000000000001 0.02)63.42% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Score Analysis
    Torino 35.69%
    Napoli 37.44%
    Draw 26.86%
TorinoDrawNapoli
1-0 @ 9.98% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-1 @ 7.93% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
2-0 @ 6.2% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
3-1 @ 3.28% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
3-0 @ 2.57% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
3-2 @ 2.1% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.02% (0.0050000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.61%
Total : 35.69%
1-1 @ 12.76% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.03% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02)
2-2 @ 5.07% (0.008 0.01)
Other @ 0.99%
Total : 26.86%
0-1 @ 10.27% (-0.030000000000001 -0.03)
1-2 @ 8.17% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
0-2 @ 6.57% (-0.013 -0.01)
1-3 @ 3.48% (0.0010000000000003 0)
0-3 @ 2.8% (-0.0049999999999999 -0)
2-3 @ 2.16% (0.004 0)
1-4 @ 1.11% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 2.87%
Total : 37.44%

How you voted: Torino vs Napoli

Torino
28.8%
Draw
21.6%
Napoli
49.5%
111
Head to Head
Mar 19, 2023 2pm
Gameweek 27
Torino
0-4
Napoli
Osimhen (9', 51'), Kvaratskhelia (35' pen.), Ndombele (68')
Oct 1, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
3-1
Torino
Zambo Anguissa (6', 12'), Kvaratskhelia (37')
Sanabria (44')
May 7, 2022 2pm
Gameweek 36
Torino
0-1
Napoli

Vojvoda (55'), Singo (79')
Fabian (73')
Mertens (53'), Lozano (56'), Elmas (90+6')
Oct 17, 2021 5pm
Gameweek 8
Napoli
1-0
Torino
Osimhen (81')
Koulibaly (79'), Zambo Anguissa (85')

Rodriguez (37'), Linetty (55'), Pobega (75'), Milinkovic-Savic (90+7')
Apr 26, 2021 5.30pm
Gameweek 33
Torino
0-2
Napoli

Verdi (45+1'), Mandragora (58')
Mandragora (86')
Bakayoko (11'), Osimhen (13')
Osimhen (68')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CInter Milan38297289226794
2AC Milan38229776492775
3Juventus381914554312371
4Atalanta BCAtalanta372161070393169
5Bologna381814654322268
6Roma381891165461963
7Lazio381871349391061
8Fiorentina371691258441457
9Torino381314113636053
10Napoli381314115548753
11Genoa381213134545049
12Monza381112153951-1245
13Hellas VeronaHellas Verona38911183851-1338
14Lecce38814163254-2238
15Udinese38619133753-1637
16CagliariCagliari38812184268-2636
17Empoli3899202954-2536
RFrosinoneFrosinone38811194469-2535
RSassuoloSassuolo3879224375-3230
RSalernitana38211253281-4917


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