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AFC Wimbledon
League One | Gameweek 23
Jan 18, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
The Cherry Red Records Stadium
Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
0 - 0
Portsmouth


Woodyard (25'), McCormick (90+3')
FT

Harness (19'), Romeo (50')

Preview: AFC Wimbledon vs. Portsmouth - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League One clash between AFC Wimbledon and Portsmouth, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Portsmouth will travel to AFC Wimbledon on Tuesday, as they look to correct their form and battle for a place in the top six of the League One table.

Danny Cowley's men dropped to ninth after a defeat to MK Dons on Saturday, while their hosts drew with fellow strugglers Morecambe.


Match preview

AFC Wimbledon manager Mark Robinson after the match on January 11, 2022© Reuters

After narrowly avoiding relegation from League One last season, AFC Wimbledon again find themselves battling for survival this term, having picked up just 26 points from 23 outings and winning just six of those.

The Dons looked to have turned a corner before the turn of the year, stringing five games together unbeaten, including league wins over Crewe Alexandra and Accrington Stanley, an FA Cup triumph over Cheltenham Town and commendable draws with Wycombe Wanderers and Fleetwood Town, but their form has since taken another dip.

Mark Robinson's men have now failed to win any of their last five matches, with a cup defeat to fifth-tier Boreham Wood being particularly damning, while a goalless draw with 21st-placed Morecambe on Saturday has left them no further from the drop zone.

AFC Wimbledon remain just two points above the side they drew with in the relegation zone, and, with four teams dropping to League Two, they have a tough task if they are to steer clear, with all four sides below having Robinson's squad in their sights.

Portsmouth manager Danny Cowley pictured on May 9, 2021© Reuters

Portsmouth arrive desperate for a victory for a different reason, as they look to close the gap between themselves and the playoff places.

After three wins to open the season, Pompey showed some concerning form, failing to win any of their next seven games, and Danny Cowley's side are now tasked with catching up to the top six.

While they certainly showed plenty of improvement, going on a 10-game unbeaten run in the third tier including six victories, the Hampshire outfit now arrive on the back of a draw with Cambridge United and a 2-1 defeat to MK Dons last time out.

Searching for a return to winning ways, Cowley's men trailed by two goals at the interval, and George Hirst's goal on the hour mark was not enough to salvage a result, seeing them fall back down below Sheffield Wednesday in the playoff race as a result.

With six points and three sides separating themselves and the top six, Pompey will know there is not much room for error and will be keen to make a return to winning ways to reignite their pursuit on Tuesday.

AFC Wimbledon League One form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D

AFC Wimbledon form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

Portsmouth League One form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L

Portsmouth form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

AFC Wimbledon's Nesta Guinness Walker is shown a red card by referee on January 11, 2022© Reuters

AFC Wimbledon will remain without forward Aaron Pressley due to an injury, with Ollie Palmer again set to lead the line with support from wingers Ayoub Assal and Jack Rudoni.

However, they will be boosted by the return of Nesta Guinness-Walker, and the left-back should take his starting spot straight back after serving a one-game suspension.

Goalkeeper Nik Tzanev and centre-back duo Ben Heneghan and Will Nightingale will come in with renewed confidence after seeing out a clean sheet last time out.

Paul Downing remains Portsmouth's only absentee through injury, as the centre-back continues a spell on the sidelines.

After a relatively slow start to his loan spell from Leicester City, forward George Hirst has netted two goals in the last three games, and he will likely lead the line with Ronan Curtis, who recently became Pompey's top scorer since the turn of the century with his tally of 45 goals in 169 appearances.

AFC Wimbledon possible starting lineup:
Tzanev; Alexander, Heneghan, Nightingale, Guinness-Walker; Woodyard, Marsh; Assal, McCormick, Rudoni; Palmer

Portsmouth possible starting lineup:
Bazunu; Freeman, Raggett, Ogilvie; Romeo, Morrell, Williams, Hackett-Fairchild; Harness; Curtis, Hirst


SM words green background

We say: AFC Wimbledon 0-2 Portsmouth

While AFC Wimbledon will be equally desperate for a result, Portsmouth should see this as a great opportunity to get their playoff pursuit back on track against a side lacking confidence.

Cowley's men will know they have the quality required to get over the line and the need for another run of results, starting with Tuesday's trip.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 42.86%. A win for AFC Wimbledon had a probability of 31.11% and a draw had a probability of 26%.

The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.45%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.89%) and 0-2 (7.51%). The likeliest AFC Wimbledon win was 1-0 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.37%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: AFC Wimbledon vs Portsmouth

AFC Wimbledon
42.9%
Draw
19.0%
Portsmouth
38.1%
21
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1610332416833
2Crewe AlexandraCrewe158431913628
3Doncaster RoversDoncaster168442218428
4Walsall1483327151227
5MK Dons168352719827
6Notts County167632315827
7Grimsby Town168171925-625
8Bradford CityBradford166552117423
9Gillingham157261612423
10AFC Wimbledon1371521111022
11Chesterfield165742920922
12BarrowBarrow166461715222
13Fleetwood TownFleetwood145632015521
14Salford City165651518-321
15Newport CountyNewport166281926-720
16Cheltenham TownCheltenham165382125-418
17Harrogate TownHarrogate165381422-818
18Accrington StanleyAccrington154562024-417
19Tranmere RoversTranmere144551017-717
20Bromley153751719-216
21Colchester UnitedColchester152851822-414
22Swindon TownSwindon162771825-713
23Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1633101429-1512
24Morecambe1624101427-1310


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