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Ajax
Eredivisie | Gameweek 33
May 13, 2021 at 1.30pm UK
Amsterdam Arena
VVV-Venlo

Ajax
3 - 1
VVV-Venlo

Rensch (10'), Haller (57'), Kudus (77')
Martinez (49')
Taylor (53')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Preview: Ajax vs. VVV-Venlo - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Thursday's Eredivisie clash between Ajax and VVV-Venlo, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Ajax head into their final home game of the season looking to extend their 14-point advantage having already been crowned Eredivisie champions.

However, opponents VVV-Venlo currently sit in the bottom two, leaving the visitors requiring at least one point from their remaining two fixtures to have any chance of avoiding relegation to the second tier.


Match preview

Ajax manager Erik Ten Hag pictured in December 2020© Reuters

Having won 26 of their 32 league fixtures this season, Ajax deserve widespread praise for seeing off the challenges of PSV Eindhoven and AZ Alkmaar with several games to spare.

However, Erik ten Hag still has targets for his side to meet before the end of the campaign, most notably scoring the four goals required to take them to 100 in the top flight.

Ajax also head into this contest having put together a 21-match unbeaten streak in the league, meaning that there is unlikely to be any let-up on their struggling opponents.

Ten Hag's side benefitted from two own goals during the 3-0 victory at Feyenoord, the highlight being a third strike of the season for promising youngster Mohammed Kudus.

Despite 96 goals being scored in the Eredivisie, only Dusan Tadic and Davy Klaassen have reached double figures, with Sebastien Haller on nine from 17 appearances.

On the back of 12 successive defeats and Emmen's recent resurgence, even the most optimistic of Venlo supporter would have felt that they were all but relegated before their last fixture.

However, a 3-3 draw with RKC Waalwijk and Emmen's surprise 4-0 reverse at home to Groningen have left Jos Luhukay's side with an opportunity to remain in the top flight.

With their nearest rivals to come on the final day of the season, Venlo will be desperate for Heerenveen to do them a favour on Thursday, with Emmen now holding just a one-point advantage.

At a time when ADO Den Haag are showing signs of life behind them, Luhukay knows that the pressure is on his team to pull off a near-miracle result against opponents who defeated them 13-0 in October.

Ajax Eredivisie form:
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

Ajax form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • W

VVV-Venlo Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Ajax's Perr Schuurs does not agree with that in the workplace on November 3, 2020© Reuters

Edson Alvarez will be missing for Ajax after the defender was dismissed just before half time against Feyenoord.

Kudus is in line to benefit with a start in midfield, while Perr Schuurs will be considered for a recall in the centre of defence.

David Neres may be preferred to Antony in the final third if Ten Hag opts to bring in more fresh legs.

After their improved showing against Waalwijk last time out, Venlo boss Luhukay could be prepared to stick with the same 11 players.

Lukas Schmitz is an option at left-back, but Wolverhampton Wanderers loanee Meritan Shabani remains absent through injury.

Ajax possible starting lineup:
Stekelenburg; Mazraoui, Timber, Martinez, Rensch; Kudus, Gravenberch; Neres, Klaassen, Tadic; Haller

VVV-Venlo possible starting lineup:
Kirschbaum; Pachonik, Dekker, Graca, Schmitz; Janssen, Machach, Post; Crooij, Giakoumakis, John


SM words green background

We say: Ajax 4-0 VVV-Venlo

On the back of their much-needed draw at the weekend, Venlo will feel more confident about troubling the champions.

Nevertheless, we expect this to be one-way traffic with the home side cruising to victory with minimal fuss.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Ajax win with a probability of 90.2%. A draw had a probability of 6.8% and a win for VVV-Venlo had a probability of 3.03%.

The most likely scoreline for an Ajax win was 3-0 with a probability of 10.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 4-0 (10.05%) and 2-0 (8.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (3.05%), while for a VVV-Venlo win it was 1-2 (1.01%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 7.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Ajax would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Ajax vs VVV-Venlo

Ajax
87.0%
Draw
8.7%
VVV-Venlo
4.3%
46
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1211014093133
2FC UtrechtUtrecht119112011928
3Ajax1182125111426
4Feyenoord1274128131525
5FC Twente1264224111322
6AZ AlkmaarAZ125252314917
7Fortuna SittardSittard125251316-317
8NECNijmegen125161910916
9Willem II124351312115
10Go Ahead Eagles124351520-515
11NAC BredaNAC Breda125071221-915
12Heerenveen124261323-1014
13Groningen123361219-712
14PEC Zwolle123361422-812
15Heracles123361223-1112
16Sparta RotterdamSparta122551218-611
17Almere CityAlmere City12138627-216
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk1211101031-214


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