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Turkish Super Lig | Gameweek 16
Dec 11, 2021 at 4pm UK
Antalya Arena
Trabzonspor

Antalyaspor
2 - 1
Trabzonspor

Fredy (34' pen.), Tokoz (73' og.)
Fredy (83')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cornelius (24')
Ie (33'), Peres (69'), Koita (80'), Djaniny (88')

Preview: Antalyaspor vs. Trabzonspor - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Turkish Super Lig clash between Antalyaspor and Trabzonspor, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Turkish Super Lig leaders Trabzonspor remain unbeaten after the first 15 games of this season, and they are looking to extend that run on Saturday, when they travel to Antalyaspor, who currently sit 15th.

Trabzonspor have managed to open up a 12-point gap between themselves and second-placed Konyaspor, while this weekend's hosts are just four points above the relegation zone.


Match preview

Abdullah Avci, now in charge of Trabzonspor, pictured in 2019© Reuters

Antalyaspor have not been in a bad run of form since the end of October, winning five out of their seven matches across all competitions, but they did fall to their seventh defeat of the league season last time out.

Kayserispor were below Alfons Groenendijk's side in the table prior to their meeting on Sunday, but an early brace from Mame Thiam was enough to sink Antalyaspor, despite playing against 10 players for the majority of the match.

With their extra man advantage, Antalyaspor did dominate possession but they failed to convert any of their chances, while Kayserispor scored with their only two strikes on goal.

Antalyaspor's home form is better than their away record this season, but this weekend they come up against the best in-form team in Turkey, and Trabzonspor will not be fazed by any home stats supporting Saturday's hosts.

Abdullah Avci's side are going from strength to strength this campaign, and have now kept three consecutive clean sheets, having beaten Adana Demirspor 2-0 last weekend.

Anthony Nwakaeme and Marek Hamsik were on target in that game, which was Trabzonspor's eighth straight win in the division, closing in on Besiktas' record of 13 consecutive wins.

Perhaps it is too early in the season to start thinking about equalling the unbeaten record, set by both Galatasaray and Besiktas many years ago, but with the way Trabzonspor are going they show no signs of stopping in their charge for the title.

Avci's side are not only the top goalscorers in the division so far, but they have also conceded the least amount of goals, which gives them a better goal difference by 10 to second spot, only adding to their already big points gap.

Trabzonspor have scored six penalty goals in their opening 15 matches, more than any other team in the division, suggesting that Antalyaspor will need to be disciplined particularly in their own 18-yard box to avoid gifting the away side golden opportunities to score.

Saturday's visitors did get the better of Antalyaspor the last time these two teams met in May, when Nwakaeme and Abdulkadir Omur secured a 2-1 victory for Trabzonspor at Medical Park Stadyumu.

Antalyaspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • L

Antalyaspor form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L

Trabzonspor Turkish Super Lig form:
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W



Team News

Enzo Crivelli and Harun Alpsoy are closing in on their return to action, while Dogukan Nelik and Ufuk Akyol are suffering from longer-term injuries, with none of the four able to feature for Antalyaspor on Saturday.

Bahadir Ozturk came into the starting 11 in place of Naldo last time out, but the latter is expected to return in the heart of Antalyaspor's back three.

Striker Paul Mukairu has netted three goals in his last four appearances, and he will be looking to continue that form with Amilton and Dogukan Sinik in an attacking midfield duo behind the lone striker.

Trabzonspor will continue to be without Djaniny, Gervinho and goalkeeper Erce Kardesler as the trio are all sidelined due to injury, with Andreas Cornelius also a doubt after being forced off the pitch in the 13th minute last time out.

Hamsik would have been delighted to find the back of the net against Adana Demirspor, as that was his first goal since the opening day and the midfielder will want to add more goals to his tally.

Antalyaspor possible starting lineup:
Boffin; Sari, Naldo, Kudryashov; Vural, Fredy, Poli, Balci; Sinik, Amilton; Mukairu

Trabzonspor possible starting lineup:
Cakir; Denswil, Hugo, Ie, Tokoz; Ozdemir, Siopis; Nwakaeme, Hamsik, Omur; Koita


SM words green background

We say: Antalyaspor 0-2 Trabzonspor

Trabzonspor will see this game as another good opportunity to continue their winning streak, playing against a side towards the relegation zone and entering this game on the back of a defeat.

The visitors have been strong defensively in their last few games also, which is why they are likely to keep another clean sheet on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



ID:472335:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9633:
Written by
Sammy Wynne

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Trabzonspor win with a probability of 38.18%. A win for Antalyaspor had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 27.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Trabzonspor win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.26%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.1%) and 0-2 (6.99%). The likeliest Antalyaspor win was 1-0 (10.51%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.04%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Antalyaspor vs Trabzonspor

Antalyaspor
18.2%
Draw
18.2%
Trabzonspor
63.6%
11
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TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1GalatasarayGalatasaray13112035132235
2Fenerbahce13102136122432
3Samsunspor1492329141529
4EyupsporEyupspor146532115623
5BesiktasBesiktas136432215722
6Goztepe SKGoztepe SK136342419521
7Istanbul BasaksehirIstanbul135442118319
8Caykur RizesporCaykur Rizespor136161520-519
9SivassporSivasspor145361822-418
10KonyasporKonyaspor145361621-518
11AntalyasporAntalyaspor135261725-817
12TrabzonsporTrabzonspor133641816215
13GaziantepGaziantep134361921-215
14KasimpasaKasimpasa133641619-315
15AlanyasporAlanyaspor133551216-414
16KayserisporKayserispor132651325-1212
17Bodrumspor143291021-1111
18Hatayspor131571220-88
19Adana Demirspor130211931-222


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