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Bolivia national football team
Copa America | Group Stage
Jun 29, 2021 at 1am UK
 
Argentina national football team

Bolivia
1 - 4
Argentina

Saavedra (60')
Ramallo (86'), Wayar (90+2')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Papu (6'), Messi (33' pen., 42'), Martinez (65')
Acuna (90')

Preview: Bolivia vs. Argentina - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Copa America clash between Bolivia and Argentina, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Argentina will be looking to secure first position in Group A when they complete their 2021 Copa America group-stage campaign against Bolivia on Monday night.

La Albiceleste, who are already through to the knockout round, sit one point clear of second-placed Paraguay at the summit, while already-eliminated Bolivia are bottom of the section on zero points.


Match preview

Bolivia's Erwin Saavedra celebrates scoring their first goal with Jaume on June 15, 2021© Reuters

Bolivia won the Copa America in 1963 and were actually the runners-up in 1997, but they have struggled to make it out of the group stages of the competition in recent years.

Only on one occasion since 1997 have they been present in the knockout round, and La Verde have been eliminated in the group stage of the 2021 tournament with one match to spare.

Cesar Farias's side opened their Group A campaign with a 3-1 defeat to Paraguay, before suffering a 1-0 loss to Chile, which put them under a lot of pressure ahead of the clash with Uruguay last time out.

Bolivia certainly had their moments against Oscar Tabarez's team but ultimately suffered a 2-0 loss to confirm their spot at the bottom of the section, and they must now take on the strongest side in the group.

The Green have won just seven of their previous 40 matches against Argentina in all competitions, and it is difficult to imagine them upsetting the section leaders on Monday night in Cuiaba.

 Argentina manager Lionel Scaloni on June 14, 2021© Reuters

Argentina, as mentioned, have comfortably qualified for the knockout round of the competition, picking up seven points from their three matches courtesy of two wins and a draw.

La Albiceleste opened their Group A challenge with a 1-1 draw against Chile but have beaten both Uruguay and Paraguay 1-0 in their last two fixtures to breeze into the quarter-finals.

Lionel Scaloni's side are not guaranteed first position, though, as Paraguay are just a point behind them in second, meaning that there is a little bit of pressure on them heading into this contest.

Argentina will also not want to lose momentum at this stage of the competition, as they go in search of their first Copa America title since 1993.

The White and Sky Blues have been runners-up in four of the last six tournaments, including in 2016, and will be determined to go one step further this year to lift the trophy next month.

Bolivia Copa America form:
  • L
  • L
  • L

Bolivia form (all competitions):
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • L

Argentina Copa America form:
  • D
  • W
  • W

Argentina form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Argentina captain Lionel Messi pictured on June 19, 2021© Reuters

Bolivia were without their captain and all-time leading goalscorer Marcelo Moreno for their first two matches due to coronavirus, but the forward returned off the bench last time out and should start here.

Henry Vaca was also ruled out of the start of the tournament for the same reason, but the 23-year-old is in line to make the first XI here, which will hand the strugglers a boost.

Rodrigo Ramallo is likely to retain his spot in the final third of the field, while Enrique Flores and Erwin Saavedra could feature in the full-back positions for Farias's side.

As for Argentina, Scaloni has no injury concerns ahead of the contest, but there are expected to be changes from the side that took to the field against Paraguay.

Joaquin Correa, Rodrigo De Paul, Angel Correa and Lautaro Martinez could all come in for starts against Bolivia, with Lionel Messi, Sergio Aguero and Angel Di Maria all expected to be named on the bench.

Lisandro Martinez will also be hoping to earn a spot in the first XI, but the likes of Emiliano Martinez, Cristian Romero and Leandro Paredes should retain their spots in the starting side.

Bolivia possible starting lineup:
Lampe; Saavedra, Quinteros, Jusino, Flores; Arce, H. Vaca, Justiniano, R. Vaca, Ramallo; Moreno

Argentina possible starting lineup:
Emiliano Martinez; Molina, Romero, Lisandro Martinez, Acuna; De Paul, Dominguez, Paredes; A Correa, Lautaro Martinez, J Correa


SM words green background

We say: Bolivia 0-2 Argentina

Argentina are not expected to be at full strength for this match, but it is still difficult to imagine there being an upset here. Bolivia have found it difficult to compete at this summer's competition, and we believe that Scolari's team will end their group-stage campaign with a comfortable win.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that at least one team will not score (BTTS - no) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS No:data



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Argentina win with a probability of 63.48%. A draw had a probability of 22.7% and a win for Bolivia had a probability of 13.8%.

The most likely scoreline for an Argentina win was 0-1 with a probability of 15.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (13.58%) and 1-2 (9.15%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a Bolivia win it was 1-0 (5.92%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 2.4% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Argentina would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Bolivia vs Argentina

Bolivia
8.8%
Draw
6.6%
Argentina
84.6%
136
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Argentina's Leandro Paredes celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates on June 8, 2021
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Group A

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Argentina Argentina33009
Q Canada Canada31114
3 Chile Chile30212
4 Peru flag Peru30121

Group B

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Venezuela Venezuela33009
Q Ecuador flag Ecuador31114
3 Mexico Mexico31114
4 Jamaica Jamaica30030

Group C

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Uruguay flag Uruguay33009
Q Panama flag Panama32016
3 United States USA31023
4 Bolivia flag Bolivia30030

Group D

TeamPWDLPTS
Q Colombia Colombia32107
Q Brazil Brazil31205
3 Costa Rica flag Costa Rica31114
4 Paraguay flag Paraguay30030


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