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Arsenal logo
Community Shield | Final
Aug 29, 2020 at 4.30pm UK
Wembley Stadium
Liverpool logo

Arsenal
1 - 1
Liverpool

FT
(aet)
Minamino (73')
Milner (57')
Arsenal win 5-4 on penalties

Preview: Arsenal vs. Liverpool - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Community Shield clash between Arsenal and Liverpool, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Less than a month after Arsenal brought a unique 2019-20 English football season to a close with victory in the FA Cup final, they will kick off the 2020-21 campaign in the Community Shield against Premier League champions Liverpool at Wembley.

The traditional curtain-raiser takes place two weeks before the start of the new Premier League season and gives both clubs the chance to earn an early piece of silverware.


Match preview

Arsenal celebrate winning the 2019-20 FA Cup final© Reuters

There will be just 28 days between Arsenal lifting the FA Cup aloft and kickoff in this match, with last season's coronavirus-affected campaign forcing a quick turnaround ahead of what is bound to be a hectic 2020-21 season.

As ever, there will be optimism abound ahead of a fresh start, and particularly so for these two clubs as Arsenal look to build on some promising signs under Mikel Arteta and Jurgen Klopp's Liverpool aim to somehow improve on their record-breaking title-winning campaign.

The Community Shield only ever offers a slight glimpse into what is to come - Liverpool lost last season's final to Manchester City but then beat them to the Premier League title by 18 points, for example - but it will be the closest we come to seeing the two sets of players in competitive action before the new Premier League season begins on September 12.

Arsenal will no doubt take confidence from the fact that they beat Liverpool towards the end of the season - albeit after the Merseysiders had already clinched the title - and victories over Manchester City and Chelsea in the FA Cup point at the possibility that the Gunners could fare better against their fellow 'big six' sides under Arteta.

However, there is certainly work still to be done and, while they may fancy their chances in a one-off game even against Liverpool, they must realistically accept that they are still some way from bridging the mammoth 43-point gap which separated these two sides in the final Premier League table last season.

Liverpool players and staff celebrate winning the 2019-20 Premier League title© Reuters

For Liverpool, the challenge for the upcoming season is clear; having ended a 30-year wait to finally clinch their 19th English crown, they must now back that up with another success this term, one which would draw them level with Manchester United on 20 titles.

The class of 2019-20 cemented themselves as one of the greatest single-season sides in English football history, but the very best teams build an era of success and that is what Liverpool will be attempting to do now.

Klopp will be expecting a much firmer challenge this time around, particularly from Manchester City, but the record-breaking nature of their title triumph last season - wrapping it up with seven games to spare - will leave them as favourites in the minds of many to retain the crown.

It may not be so emphatic this time around - a team dropping just two points from their opening 27 games may never happen again - but they can also point to the fact that last season was by no means a freak one, having amassed 97 points and 99 points respectively over the past two campaigns.

Liverpool are now the team to beat, which is a position they have not found themselves in for three decades, and staying on top often proves harder than reaching the top.

Liverpool manager Jurgen Klopp fist bumps Arsenal counterpart Mikel Arteta in July 2020© Reuters

The Community Shield would by no means be the most prestigious piece of silverware won by Klopp at Anfield following a glittering year or so in which they have been crowned champions of England, Europe and the world, but it would strengthen the recent habit of winning trophies nonetheless.

This is a trophy both clubs have lifted 15 times in the past - only Manchester United have won it more often - while it will be their 24th appearance in the traditional season curtain-raiser too.

Liverpool arrive back to England having taken part in a pre-season training camp in Austria, during which they beat Stuttgart 3-0 but needed to come from two goals down to draw with Red Bull Salzburg.

Arsenal, meanwhile, have played just one pre-season game ahead of this match, beating MK Dons 4-1 on Tuesday.

Saturday's match is set to be one of the last chances both managers have to look at their full squads before the new season begins, with a large contingent due to jet off on international duty next week.

Arsenal pre-season form: W

Liverpool pre-season form: WD


Team News

Liverpool captain Jordan Henderson lifts the Premier League trophy on July 22, 2020© Reuters

Liverpool have a few injury doubts ahead of the new season, including Premier League-winning captain Jordan Henderson, who is sidelined by a knee problem.

The FWA Footballer of the Year could return for the opening game of the league season, along with Joel Matip, but both are expected to sit out at Wembley.

Trent Alexander-Arnold is more likely to be fit in time for Saturday's match despite not taking part in the pre-season training camp, although Klopp will not take any unnecessary risks over his fitness and so could hold him back from the start.

Virgil van Dijk is ready to play after being taken off against Salzburg with a cut above his eye, but Harry Wilson and Ki-Jana Hoever are doubts and Alex Oxlade-Chamberlain is a longer-term absentee.

New signing Kostas Tsimikas is available to start, although Andrew Robertson could be given the nod at left-back, while Rhian Brewster will be pushing for a role having scored three times in Liverpool's two pre-season games.

Arsenal have a number of notable players sidelined too, including defensive trio Shkodran Mustafi, Pablo Mari and Calum Chambers - all of whom will miss the start of the new Premier League season.

Mustafi and Mari are expected to return in the opening months of the campaign, but Chambers - along with Gabriel Martinelli - will not return to training until the end of the calendar year.

FA Cup final hero Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang could start following comments from Arteta which raised hope that a new contract is close to being agreed, while summer signing Willian is also in contention for a debut.

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Saliba, Luiz, Tierney; Cedric, Willock, Xhaka, Saka; Willian, Nketiah, Aubameyang

Liverpool possible starting lineup:
Alisson; Williams, Gomez, Van Dijk, Robertson; Jones, Fabinho, Wijnaldum; Salah, Brewster, Mane


SM words green background

We say: Arsenal 1-2 Liverpool

Community Shield matches are always difficult to call, and more so than ever this year given the quick turnaround and impending international break.

A lot could depend on how strong a team the managers choose to field, but when it comes to squad depth and quality there is no doubt that Liverpool have the upper hand and we are therefore expecting them to come out on top at Wembley.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


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Written by
Barney Corkhill

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Liverpool win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.3% and a win for Arsenal had a probability of 20.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Liverpool win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.01%) and 0-1 (8.97%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.87%), while for an Arsenal win it was 2-1 (5.43%).


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Liverpool
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Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang poses with the FA Cup on August 1, 2020
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