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Crystal Palace logo
Premier League | Gameweek 37
May 19, 2021 at 7pm UK
Selhurst Park
Arsenal logo

Crystal Palace
1 - 3
Arsenal

Benteke (62')
Schlupp (5'), Benteke (37')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Pepe (35', 90+5'), Martinelli (90+1')
Elneny (37')

Preview: Crystal Palace vs. Arsenal - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Premier League clash between Crystal Palace and Arsenal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

With European football still very much a possibility, Arsenal prepare for the penultimate fixture of their Premier League season against Crystal Palace on Wednesday evening.

The Eagles soared to a 3-2 win over Aston Villa at the weekend, while the Gunners have had a week to recover from their 1-0 victory at London rivals Chelsea.


Match preview

Crystal Palace manager Roy Hodgson on May 8, 2021.© Reuters

Amid speculation surrounding the futures of Roy Hodgson and a plethora of Palace players, the Eagles did not rest on their laurels with survival guaranteed, as they came out on the correct end of the scoreline in a five-goal thriller with Villa on Sunday.

Dean Smith's side were 2-1 up at half time thanks to goals from John McGinn and Anwar El Ghazi either side of Christian Benteke's header, but Palace turned it around in the second period as Wilfried Zaha's strike preceded Tyrick Mitchell's chested effort in the 84th minute at Selhurst Park.

With two wins from their last three Premier League outings, Palace are finishing the season with a flourish and occupy 13th spot in the table, but Hodgson's men can no longer push for a top-half finish and are only capable of finishing as high as 11th this season.

A final-day fixture at Liverpool awaits for the Eagles, so their chances of picking up more points before the campaign concludes are not exactly high, and they welcome Arsenal to Selhurst Park having shipped eight goals in their last three home games.

Only West Bromwich Albion (36) and Newcastle United (33) have conceded more goals on home soil than Palace (29) this term, and while Arsenal are not exactly renowned for any sort of penalty-box potency, a shaky and depleted Palace defence could offer them the opportunity to reignite their golden touch.

Arsenal manager Mikel Arteta, May 9 2021© Reuters

Written off by many before a ball was kicked at Stamford Bridge, Mikel Arteta's new-look team put in a dogged performance to keep Chelsea at bay throughout the 90 minutes, and they were gifted a winner in the opening exchanges to break the Blues' resistance on home soil.

Jorginho was forced into making an error under pressure from Emile Smith Rowe, and the Italy international so nearly witnessed the ball trickle over his own goal-line had it not been for the heroics of Kepa Arrizabalaga, but Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang was on hand to set up Smith Rowe for the game's only goal in the 16th minute.

With West Ham United and Everton both faltering in their pursuits of European football, Arsenal have taken advantage with three Premier League wins on the trot, and the ninth-placed Gunners are now four points adrift of a top-seven place with two games remaining.

Liverpool are the only other team in the division to have taken nine points from the last nine on offer, and Arsenal are still reliant on others slipping up if their 25-year stint on the continental stage is to continue, but Arteta's men at least appear to be ending the season strongly, even if it does turn out to be too little too late.

Furthermore, the Gunners travel to Selhurst Park on a six-game unbeaten streak away from home in the Premier League, scoring 13 goals in that time, but they were held to a goalless stalemate by the Eagles back in January - their fifth game in a row without a win against their capital rivals.

Crystal Palace Premier League form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • L
  • W

Arsenal Premier League form:
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W

Arsenal form (all competitions):
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Arsenal's Granit Xhaka contemplates his mistake on March 6, 2021© Reuters

Palace boss Hodgson revealed that Patrick van Aanholt and Luka Milivojevic both missed the win over Villa due to family reasons, so it remains to be seen if the duo will come back in time for Wednesday.

However, Mitchell is in no danger of losing his place at left-back following his unorthodox winner last time out, while Jairo Riedewald could be recalled to the midfield over the fit-again James McCarthy.

Jack Butland made his Premier League debut for the Eagles against Villa, but Hodgson has hinted at a recall for Vicente Guaita this weekend, while Nathaniel Clyne's availability is uncertain due to a bout of sickness.

Arsenal's have three injury concerns in the form of David Luiz and Hector Bellerin - both of whom are unavailable - while Granit Xhaka faces a late fitness test.

Arteta's three-man defence worked wonders at Stamford Bridge but he will surely revert to a back four here, with Gabriel Magalhaes potentially being the unlucky one to drop out.

Calum Chambers could return at right-back after Bukayo Saka struggled in a wing-back role against Chelsea, allowing the attacker to venture further up the pitch in support of Aubameyang.

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Kouyate, Dann, Mitchell; Ayew, Riedewald, Schlupp, Eze; Zaha, Benteke

Arsenal possible starting lineup:
Leno; Chambers, Holding, Mari, Tierney; Partey, Elneny; Saka, Odegaard, Smith Rowe; Aubameyang


SM words green background

We say: Crystal Palace 1-3 Arsenal

Arsenal would be making a fatal mistake if they were to underestimate Palace, but their record on the road should help them see out a routine victory at Selhurst Park.

Results elsewhere could either boost their chances of European football or consign them to a rare season with no continental competition, but we are backing them to march to a fourth successive top-flight win here either way.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data


Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Arsenal win with a probability of 64.9%. A draw had a probability of 20.6% and a win for Crystal Palace had a probability of 14.53%.

The most likely scoreline for an Arsenal win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.92%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.91%) and 1-2 (9.78%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.79%), while for a Crystal Palace win it was 1-0 (4.9%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 6.5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Arsenal would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Crystal Palace vs Arsenal

Crystal Palace
19.7%
Draw
18.1%
Arsenal
62.2%
188
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Aston Villa midfielder John McGinn pictured in December 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


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