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Athletic Bilbao logo
La Liga | Gameweek 20
Jan 25, 2021 at 8pm UK
San Mames
Getafe logo

Athletic Bilbao
5 - 1
Getafe

Garcia (12', 61'), Alvarez (50'), Berenguer (75'), de Marcos (82')
Nunez (9'), Garcia (17'), Garcia (40'), Vencedor (57')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Cucurella (1')
Maksimovic (8'), Mata (50'), Etxeita (57'), Dakonam (79')

Preview: Athletic Bilbao vs. Getafe - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Monday's La Liga clash between Athletic Bilbao and Getafe, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Athletic Bilbao will be looking to make it four straight victories in all competitions when they welcome Getafe to San Mames in La Liga on Monday night.

The Basque outfit, who are currently 13th in Spain's top flight, won the Spanish Super Cup last weekend before beating Ibiza in the Copa del Rey on Thursday, but they will be coming up against a Getafe side that have recorded victories in their last two league games against Elche and Huesca.


Match preview

Athletic Bilbao celebrate beating Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final on January 17, 2021© Reuters

Athletic have not actually been in La Liga action since a 3-2 home defeat to Barca on January 6, but they have played three times since then in two separate competitions, beating Real Madrid and Barca in back-to-back fixtures to win the Spanish Super Cup, before recording a 2-1 victory over Ibiza in the Copa del Rey.

New head coach Marcelino has therefore won three of his four matches at the helm, and the Basque side will now be looking to return to winning ways in Spain's top flight.

A record of six wins, three draws and nine defeats from 18 matches has left Athletic in 13th position in the table, two points behind 11th-placed Getafe, while they are just five points off the top eight.

Los Leones finished 11th last season after claiming eighth in 2018-19, and they will have their eyes on a possible top-half finish, particularly considering their two excellent performances against Madrid and Barca in the Super Cup.

Athletic have not actually beaten Getafe in the league since January 2016, though, with five of their last seven meetings finishing level, while Getafe have claimed two victories, including in the corresponding game last term.

Getafe players celebrate in October 2020© Reuters

Getafe, meanwhile, will enter Monday's contest off the back of successive wins over Elche and Huesca, with the two victories following three consecutive defeats in all competitions.

The capital side have struggled for consistency during the 2020-21 campaign, picking up 23 points from 18 matches to sit 11th, and they have already suffered seven league defeats this term.

Jose Bordalas's side have finished eighth, fifth and eighth in their last three La Liga seasons, but it does appear that it could be a struggle to push towards the European positions this term.

Getafe have won three of their last five away matches in all competitions, though, and the club have recently boosted their squad with the loan signings of Barcelona's Carles Alena and Real Madrid's Takefusa Kubo.

Athletic Bilbao La Liga form: LWDLWL
Athletic Bilbao form (all competitions): LWLWWW

Getafe La Liga form: WDLLWW
Getafe form (all competitions): DLLLWW


Team News

Athletic Bilbao's Raul Garcia celebrates scoring against Real Madrid in the semi-finals of the Spanish Super Cup on January 14, 2021© Reuters

Athletic will again be without the services of Peru Nolaskoain through injury, but Inigo Martinez should shake off a minor knock to feature at the heart of the defence.

Head coach Marcelino will make wholesale changes from the side that started against Ibiza in the Copa del Rey, with the likes of Iker Muniain, Raul Garcia, Inaki Williams and Oscar de Marcos all set to return.

Unai Simon will also be back between the sticks, while Dani Garcia and Unai Vencedor are likely to get the nod in the middle of the park, with Mikel Vesga expected to drop to the bench.

As for Getafe, Erick Cabaco and Mathias Olivera should have overcome knocks to start, but Enes Unal, Victor Mollejo and Cucho Hernandez are unlikely to be involved for the visitors.

Mauro Arambarri has overcome an adductor injury and should continue in midfield, while recent signings Alena and Kubo are again expected to feature in attacking positions for the visitors.

Head coach Bordalas has options for change in the final third of the field, but Jaime Mata should again get the nod over Angel despite the fact that the latter has more league goals to his name this term.

Athletic Bilbao possible starting lineup:
Simon; Capa, Alvarez, Martinez, Berchiche; De Marcos, Vencedor, D Garcia, Muniain; R Garcia, Williams

Getafe possible starting lineup:
Yanez; Suarez, Cabaco, Dakonam, Olivera; Arambarri, Maksimovic; Kubo, Alena, Cucurella; Mata


SM words green background

We say: Athletic Bilbao 1-1 Getafe

This is a very difficult match to call as both sides will enter the contest in good form. Athletic will be keen to return to winning ways in the league, but Getafe have shown a lot of improvement in recent games, and we are finding it difficult to separate the teams here.



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Written by
Matt Law

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Getafe win with a probability of 41.17%. A draw had a probability of 29.6% and a win for Athletic Bilbao had a probability of 29.25%.

The most likely scoreline for a Getafe win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.19%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.32%) and 1-2 (7.81%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.32%), while for an Athletic Bilbao win it was 1-0 (11.36%). The actual scoreline of 5-1 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood.


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Athletic Bilbao celebrate beating Barcelona in the Spanish Super Cup final on January 17, 2021
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona18122450203038
2Atletico MadridAtletico17115131112038
3Real Madrid17114237162137
4Athletic Bilbao1896327161133
5Mallorca188371821-327
6Villarreal167542827126
7Real Sociedad177461611525
8Osasuna176742225-325
9Real BetisBetis176652021-124
10GironaGirona176472325-222
11Sevilla176471823-522
12Celta Vigo176382528-321
13Rayo Vallecano165561819-120
14Las PalmasLas Palmas175482227-519
15Leganes174671523-818
16Getafe173771114-316
17AlavesAlaves174491928-916
18Espanyol1642101528-1314
19Real ValladolidValladolid1733111234-2212
20Valencia152491323-1010


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