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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer | Gameweek 25
Aug 15, 2021 at 9pm UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Los Angeles FC

Atlanta
1 - 0
Los Angeles

Martinez (47')
Bello (85')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Atuesta (90+6')

Preview: Atlanta United vs. Los Angeles FC - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and Los Angeles FC, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Their winless streak is finally over, and now Atlanta United will try to keep their momentum going against a struggling Los Angeles FC side at Mercedes Benz Stadium in Georgia on Sunday.

Last week, the Five Stripes edged the Columbus Crew 3-2, while the Black-and-Gold dropped their second straight fixture, losing 2-1 to the San Jose Earthquakes.


Match preview

Atlanta United midfielder Marcelino Moreno (10) celebrates with teammates after scoring a goal against the Columbus Crew in the second half at Lower.com Stadium on August 7, 2021© Reuters

It has been a long time coming, but Atlanta were able to end a 12-match winless run last weekend, their first away win of the year, earning three points for the first time since May 15.

While serving as interim manager, Rob Valentino had been preaching to his side the importance of attacking early and often, and they were rewarded last Saturday, taking the lead in the fifth minute while showing a lot of resilience in the second half, after the Crew got on the scoreboard late in the first half.

Valentino allowed his team more freedom to attack than his predecessor, and they have responded in a big way lately with seven goals in their last three games.

Gonzalo Pineda is now in charge, with Valentino being relegated to assistant once again, as Pineda, a former Seattle Sounders assistant coach, will try to get this team back into a playoff position, currently sitting six points behind the Columbus Crew.

The Five Stripes have been much better at home than on the road, although they have struggled to find the back of the net, going goalless in their last three matches at Mercedes Benz Stadium despite firing 13 shots on target.

Los Angeles FC defender Kim Moon-Hwan celebrates scoring a goal on June 24, 2021© Reuters

LA are still in a playoff position, but they have not done themselves any favours lately, going winless in their last five encounters.

Bob Bradley has to be frustrated with the lack of consistency shown by his team all year, especially given their talent level on paper.

All season long, they have been average at best, with some flashes of brilliance but at the moment, they look like a broken side, extremely discouraged with how the year has gone.

They score about as many goals as they concede with 24 goals for and 25 against, but the LA backline have looked particularly vulnerable on the road lately, conceding four goals in their last two games.

A side who led the league in goals scored in each of their previous two seasons have not made the most of their opportunities in 2021, firing 56 shots over their last three games but scoring only four times.

Atlanta United Major League Soccer form:
  • L
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • W

Los Angeles FC Major League Soccer form:
  • W
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • L
  • L



Team News

Atlanta United players react after Philadelphia Union scored an an own goal on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Ezequiel Barco notched a brace for Atlanta last weekend to help them end their lengthy winless skid and was named to the MLS Team of the Week, while Marcelino Moreno scored his team-leading sixth goal of the season in that victory.

Atlanta are still missing Franco Ibarra, Jake Mulraney and Brooks Lennon with lower-body injuries, while Mo Adams is still recovering from a quad injury and Emerson Hyndman has a torn ACL.

Luiz Araujo could make his debut in this one after joining the Five Stripes as a Designated Player from Lille, the reigning Ligue 1 champions, and Josef Martinez missed their last match with a red card suspension.

LA have lost defender Eddie Segura for the rest of the year with a right knee injury, and Kwadwo Opoku is out with a left knee problem.

Cristian Arango made his first appearance for LA since signing from Millonarios FC in Colombia in early August, starting instead of Diego Rossi last Saturday.

Jesus Murillo replaced Marco Farfan in central defence versus the Quakes as Bradley went with a back four, moving Kim Moon-hwan up to midfield, with Francisco Ginella starting instead of Raheem Edwards.

Atlanta United possible starting lineup:
Guzan; Walkes, Franco, Campbell, Robinson; Bello, Sosa, Sejdic, Hernandez; Barco, Moreno

Los Angeles FC possible starting lineup:
Romero; Palacios, Blackmon, Murillo, Farfan; Crisostomo, Atuesta, Cifuentes; Rossi, Arango, Vela


SM words green background

We say: Atlanta United 2-1 Los Angeles FC

Atlanta have played a lot more to their capabilities recently and defeating the reigning MLS Cup champions could be just what they need to regain some of their confidence.

On the other hand, the confidence of LA has to be shattered, given their form lately, and they seem to struggle when playing teams near the bottom of the table, while they have also lost consecutive road fixtures.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



ID:459311:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect10468:
Written by
Joel Lefevre

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Los Angeles FC had a probability of 35.75% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 1-0 with a probability of 9.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.27%) and 2-0 (6.51%). The likeliest Los Angeles FC win was 0-1 (9.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.59%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Atlanta United in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Atlanta vs Los Angeles

Atlanta United
61.5%
Draw
19.2%
Los Angeles FC
19.2%
26
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