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Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro | Gameweek 13
Jul 25, 2021 at 3pm UK
Mineirão
Bahia

Atletico Mineiro
3 - 0
Bahia

Hulk (58', 80' pen.), Nathan (90+1')
Dodo (54'), Mariano (68')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Rossi (23')

Preview: Atletico Mineiro vs. Bahia - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Bahia, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

In-form Atletico Mineiro take on Bahia at Estadio Governador Magalhaes Pinto on Sunday looking to keep the pressure on Brasileiro leaders Palmeiras.

The hosts are seven games without defeat in all competitions, winning six of those, while Bahia enter this game on the back of successive defeats.


Match preview

Ceara's Saulo Mineiro with teammates after the match on June 20, 2021© Reuters

Mineiro will have minimal time to prepare for this match as their Copa Libertadores last-16 tie with Boca Juniors in midweek went the distance.

After playing out a goalless draw across the two legs, the White-and-Black pulled off a huge victory on penalties to keep their continental cup hopes alive.

The tie was overshadowed by unsavoury scenes after the match, in which players appeared to clash in the dressing room area, with police intervening and spraying tear gas.

Cuca's charges now have a quarter-final contest to look forward to against River Plate, but right now all focus is on the league and Sunday's visit of Bahia.

Bahia's Luiz Otavio celebrates scoring their first goal on June 28, 2021© Reuters

Whereas Mineiro have won five on the spin in the Brasileiro to move within three points of leaders Palmeiras, Bahia have slipped down the division in recent weeks.

Dado Cavalcanti's side lost 1-0 to Bahia a fortnight ago and followed that up with a heavy 5-0 loss at home to Flamengo last time out, leaving them eighth in the table.

Gabriel Barbosa scored a hat-trick for Flamengo, while Pedro and Vitinho were also on target in the one-sided contest.

Bahia will be seeking a quick response to that big defeat, and they have a good recent record against Atletico Mineiro, going four matches without defeat in this fixture.

Atletico Mineiro Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Atletico Mineiro form (all competitions):
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W

Bahia Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L



Team News

Atletico Mineiro's Hulk celebrates scoring their third goal on May 26, 2021© Reuters

Atletico remain without Guilherme Arana as he is away on Tokyo Olympics duty with Brazil, while Jair, Keno and Marrony are all nursing injuries.

Eduardo Vargas is another absentee for the hosts due to testing positive for coronavirus.

Cavalcanti is expected to make some changes on the back of the win against Boca Juniors, with the likes of Alan Franco, Eduardo Sasha and Guga all pushing for inclusion on Sunday.

As for the visitors, Jonas is back from suspension and should slot back into midfield alongside Patrick de Lucca and Matheus Galdezani.

However, Edson will play no part after picking up another yellow card last time out, while new signings Lucas Mugni and Hugo Rodallega are not yet ready to feature.

Atletico Mineiro possible starting lineup:
Everson; Guga, Nathan, Alonso, Dodo; Franco, Fernandez, Tche; Savarino, Hulk, Sasha

Bahia possible starting lineup:
Teixeira; Paraiba, Conti, Otavio, Bahia; Galdezani, De Lucca, Jonas; Rossi, Gilberto, Rodriguinho


SM words green background

We say: Atletico Mineiro 3-1 Bahia

Bahia have had a week to prepare for this game, whereas Atletico Mineiro had an eventful Libertadores clash with Boca Juniors in midweek that went the distance.

The penalty-shootout win against the Argentinian heavyweights kept the hosts' momentum going, though, and we can see them making it six league wins on the spin here.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 60.28%. A draw had a probability of 23.1% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.64%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atletico Mineiro win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.98%) and 2-1 (9.58%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.87%), while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (6.17%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Atletico Mineiro would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Atletico Mineiro vs Bahia

Atletico Mineiro
84.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bahia
0.0%
25
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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Botafogo34209552262669
2PalmeirasPalmeiras34207756282867
3FortalezaFortaleza33189647321563
4FlamengoFlamengo34188853381562
5InternacionalInternacional331611646281859
6Sao Paulo341771048351358
7Cruzeiro34138133937247
8Bahia34137144444046
9Corinthians341111124142-144
10Vasco da GamaVasco33127143649-1343
11Atletico Mineiro341013114247-543
12Vitoria34125173948-941
13Gremio34117164044-440
14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
16Fluminense33107162836-837
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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