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AZ Alkmaar
Eredivisie | Gameweek 26
Mar 13, 2021 at 7pm UK
AFAS Stadion, Alkmaar
FC Twente logo

AZ
4 - 1
FC Twente

Boadu (4'), Dumic (22' og.), Drommel (34' og.), Koopmeiners (78')
Martins Indi (43')
FT(HT: 3-1)
Gudmundsson (40' og.)
Dumic (36'), Zerrouki (57')

Preview: AZ Alkmaar vs. FC Twente - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Eredivisie clash between AZ Alkmaar and FC Twente, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

After their four-game winning run was brought to an end last time out, AZ Alkmaar welcome FC Twente to the AFAS Stadion on Saturday aiming to get back to winning ways.

On the other hand, Twente are unbeaten in their last four Eredivisie matches, including a streak of three consecutive stalemates.


Match preview

AZ Alkmaar's Albert Guomundsson celebrates scoring their second goal with teammates in October 2020© Reuters

AZ were unable to record a fifth league win on the bounce, succumbing to a 2-1 defeat versus Vitesse at the GelreDome on Sunday.

Pascal Jansen's men had the chance to pull seven points clear of their hosts, but their four-point lead has now been cut to one.

The Cheeseheads went behind 15 minutes before the interval as Lois Openda was on target for the 10th time this season to give his side a well-deserved lead.

With only 18 minutes left to play in the second half, things went from bad to worse for the visitors when Jacob Rasmussen doubled Vitesse's lead with a tidy finish.

AZ had a man advantage for the final 11 minutes of the tie after Enzo Cornelisse was sent off for a professional last-man tackle.

Saturday's hosts pulled one back through Jesper Karlsson, but that proved to be inconsequential as the 10 men held out for a crucial win in the race for third spot.

Ron Jans, now in charge of FC Twente, pictured in September 2019© Reuters

Twente were held to a 1-1 draw by Willem II on Saturday, and they missed the chance to move above Utrecht into seventh place on the log.

Ron Jans's men took the lead midway through the second half, but they were unable to see the game out as they conceded an equaliser in the 81st minute to Vangelis Pavlidis.

Next up for The Tukkers is a trip to a ground where they have lost their last five matches in all competitions by a combined score of 14-2.

Saturday's visitors were also beaten by the hosts in December's reverse fixture at the Grolsch Veste Stadium, and they have it all to do if they are to prevent AZ from completing a league double over them.

AZ Alkmaar Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • L

FC Twente Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • D
  • D


Team News

AZ Alkmaar players look dejected against Real Sociedad on November 5, 2020© Reuters

AZ's Fredrik Midtsjo has been ruled out for the match due to a torn muscle which he sustained in last month's win over Feyenoord.

Rens van der Wacht's involvement is still hanging in the balance as he hopes to shake off a knock just in time to play a part in the clash.

The duo of Julio Pleguezuelo and Vaclav Cerny picked up season-ending knee injuries a week apart in February, and they are unavailable for this one.

Twenty-year-old Kik Pierie is out with a minor illness, leaving Casper Staring with another opportunity to feature in the heart of the away side's defence.

Mees Hilgers has had just 15 minutes of playing time with the senior team so far, and he is ruled out for the game due to a hip injury.

AZ Alkmaar possible starting lineup:
Bizot; Wijndal, Martins Indi, Hatzidiakos, Sugawara; Stengs, Koopmeiners, Midtsjo; Karlsson, Boadu, Gudmundsson

FC Twente possible starting lineup:
Drommel; Dumic, Staring, Pleguezuelo, Smal; Zerrouki, Roemeratoe, Bosch; Menig, Danilo, Van Leeuwen


SM words green background

We say: AZ Alkmaar 3-1 FC Twente

AZ Alkmaar were brought down to earth last time out, but they will look to bounce back as soon as possible. We are backing them to do so, and claim a relatively comfortable victory over a spirited Twente side.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AZ Alkmaar win with a probability of 62.12%. A draw had a probability of 20.1% and a win for FC Twente had a probability of 17.77%.

The most likely scoreline for an AZ Alkmaar win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.4%) and 1-0 (8.8%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.27%), while for a FC Twente win it was 1-2 (4.88%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AZ Alkmaar would win this match.


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Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1PSV EindhovenPSV1110013792830
2Ajax108112391425
3FC UtrechtUtrecht108111911825
4Feyenoord1164124121222
5FC Twente116322291321
6AZ AlkmaarAZ1152422121017
7Fortuna SittardSittard115241213-117
8Go Ahead Eagles114341519-415
9NAC BredaNAC Breda115061218-615
10NECNijmegen114161610613
11Willem II113351111012
12Heracles113351222-1012
13Sparta RotterdamSparta112541217-511
14Heerenveen113261223-1111
15Groningen112361119-89
16PEC Zwolle112361121-109
17Almere CityAlmere City11137523-186
18RKC WaalwijkRKC Waalwijk111191028-184


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