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Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 6, 2021 at 3pm UK
Oakwell Stadium
Birmingham logo

Barnsley
1 - 0
Birmingham

Dike (49')
Halme (77'), Mason (90+4')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Friend (33'), Harper (72')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Birmingham City - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Barnsley and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Barnsley play host to Birmingham City on Saturday afternoon looking to extend their six-match winning streak in the Championship.

While the Tykes have moved into contention for the playoffs, Blues remain just three points above the drop zone despite collecting seven points from four games.


Match preview

Barnsley manager Valerien Ismael pictured on February 11, 2021© Reuters

For every week that Barnsley spend in the race for the top six, hope is turning to expectation for the club's supporters as they begin to dream about an unlikely return to the Premier League.

Valerien Ismael and his squad will relish the opportunity to remain as underdogs in competition with clubs who have budgeted for promotion to the top flight.

Nevertheless, six successive wins, the latest coming against Queens Park Rangers in midweek, has put the Tykes within three points of fifth spot.

Barnsley scored three goals at the Kiyan Prince Foundation Stadium, their best return since the end of October.

Carlton Morris and Daryl Dike have now contributed six goals since their January arrivals, keeping them as potential difference-makers come the end of the campaign.

Birmingham City's Marc Roberts celebrates after scoring their first goal against Huddersfield Town on March 2, 2021© Reuters

As far as Birmingham are concerned, they make their second trip to Yorkshire in the space of a week after claiming a 1-1 draw at Huddersfield Town on Tuesday night.

Aitor Karanka would have expected more against opponents who have lost their way since the turn of the year, but it represented another point claimed from a losing position.

There could have been few complaints with the Spaniard's team selection after he recalled playmaker Alen Halilovic to his starting lineup, a reward for the Croatian's sublime winner against QPR at the weekend.

However, with Rotherham United just three points behind Blues with two matches in hand, Karanka may have to reconsider his plans now that the club are a defeat away from dropping back into the relegation zone.

Barnsley Championship form: WWWWWW

Birmingham City Championship form: LLWLWD


Team News

Birmingham City manager Aitor Karanka pictured on January 10, 2021© Reuters

Despite having an extra day of recovery, Karanka may still look to make changes to his Birmingham side.

Gary Gardner could be preferred to Rekeem Harper, while Jonathan Leko and Scott Hogan are alternatives in the final third of the pitch.

Barnsley boss Ismael is expected to rotate for Saturday's game, bringing in the likes of Michael Sollbauer and Morris.

Herbie Kane is also an option in midfield if Ismael opts for fresh legs due to the three-day turnaround.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Collins; Sollbauer, Helik, Andersen; Brittain, Palmer, Mowatt, Styles; Chaplin, Morris, Woodrow

Birmingham City possible starting lineup:
Etheridge; Colin, Roberts, Dean, Pedersen; Gardner; Sanchez, Halilovic, Sunjic, Bela; Jutkiewicz


SM words green background

We say: Barnsley 2-0 Birmingham City

Birmingham have performed better against the top sides this season, something which will only encourage them ahead of their trip to Oakwell. However, we are backing the home team to continue collecting maximum points, keeping a clean sheet in the process.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a home win or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home/Away:data



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Written by
Darren Plant

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 45.85%. A draw had a probability of 28.5% and a win for Birmingham City had a probability of 25.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.44%) and 2-1 (8.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.97%), while for a Birmingham City win it was 0-1 (10.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Barnsley in this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Barnsley vs Birmingham

Barnsley
81.5%
Draw
13.6%
Birmingham City
4.9%
81
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Barnsley manager Valerien Ismael pictured on February 11, 2021
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