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[monks data]
Bayern logo
Bundesliga | Gameweek 3
Oct 4, 2020 at 5pm UK
Allianz Arena
Hertha Berlin logo

Bayern
4 - 3
Hertha Berlin

Lewandowski (40', 51', 85', 90+3' pen.)
Hernandez (58'), Gnabry (85'), Lewandowski (90+4')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Cordoba (59'), Cunha (71'), Ngankam (88')
Cordoba (13'), Piatek (84'), Mittelstadt (90+2')

Preview: Bayern Munich vs. Hertha Berlin - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin, including team news and predicted lineups.

Bayern Munich will be looking to bounce back from last weekend's shock defeat at Hoffenheim when they continue their 2020-21 Bundesliga season at home to Hertha Berlin on Sunday.

The German champions were on the wrong end of a 4-1 scoreline at Hoffenheim last time out, while Hertha suffered a 3-1 home defeat to Eintracht Frankfurt in their last league game on September 25.


Match preview

Serge Gnabry celebrates scoring for Bayern Munich against Schalke with Robert Lewandowski on September 18, 2020© Reuters

Bayern only beat Paris Saint-Germain in the 2020 Champions League final on August 23 but were back in action on September 18, opening their 2020-21 Bundesliga campaign with an 8-0 win over Schalke 04.

Hansi Flick's side then recorded a 2-1 victory over Sevilla in the UEFA Super Cup on September 24 but could not make it three straight wins in all competitions at the start of the new season as they incredibly lost 4-1 at Hoffenheim in their second Bundesliga game last weekend.

The treble winners returned to winning ways in the German Super Cup on Wednesday night, though, recording a 3-2 victory over Borussia Dortmund to secure yet more silverware.

The fixture list is fairly relentless for Bayern at the moment, and there is no question that Sunday's clash is extremely important as they will not want to be potentially six points off the summit heading into the international break.

Flick's side have not lost a home Bundesliga match since last November, though, and will fancy their chances of putting another three points on the board at the Allianz Arena.

Hertha Berlin players celebrate scoring against Union Berlin in the derby on May 22, 2020© Reuters

Hertha, meanwhile, made an excellent start to their new Bundesliga campaign, recording a 4-1 victory at Werder Bremen on September 19 to put an early three points on the board.

The Old Lady could not build on the result, though, and suffered a 3-1 home defeat to Frankfurt on September 25, with the visitors proving too strong over the course of the 90 minutes.

The two-time German champions finished 10th in the Bundesliga last season and have been active in this summer's market, notably bringing Jhon Cordoba to the club from Koln in a £13.5m deal.

Hertha suffered a 4-0 defeat when they last faced Bayern in January, but the corresponding match at the Allianz Arena last season finished in a goalless draw, which will hand Bruno Labbadia's side confidence.

Bayern Munich Bundesliga form: WL
Bayern Munich form (all competitions): WWLW

Hertha Berlin Bundesliga form: WL
Hertha Berlin form (all competitions): LWL


Team News

Leroy Sane pictured in a Bayern Munich top after joining the club from Manchester City© FC Bayern

Bayern will again be without the services of Leroy Sane and Tanguy Kouassi through injury, while Leon Goretzka is a doubt, having missed the German Super Cup due to a back issue.

Serge Gnabry was only a substitute against Dortmund but should return to the starting XI for this match, while there is also likely to be a recall for David Alaba in the middle of the defence.

Corentin Tolisso could keep his spot in the middle of the park, while Thomas Muller, Kingsley Coman and Gnabry are expected to support lone forward Robert Lewandowski.

As for Hertha, Javairo Dilrosun and Arne Maier are both on the sidelines through injury, but Dedryck Boyata should shake off an Achilles injury to start this weekend in central defence.

Jordan Torunarigha and Santiago Ascacibar should also both be available after overcoming foot injuries, while there could be a change in attack with Cordoba in line to replace Krzysztof Piatek.

Bayern Munich possible starting lineup:
Neuer; Pavard, Sule, Alaba, Davies; Kimmich, Tolisso; Coman, Muller, Gnabry; Lewandowski

Hertha Berlin possible starting lineup:
Schwolow; Pekarik, Torunarigha, Boyata, Mittelstadt; Stark; Cunha, Tousart, Darida; Lukebakio, Cordoba


SM words green background

We say: Bayern Munich 3-0 Hertha Berlin

Bayern will be determined to return to winning ways in the Bundesliga, and we are struggling to see anything other than a home victory in this game. Hertha are certainly capable of making it a difficult 90 minutes, but Flick's team should ultimately have too much quality in the final third of the field.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 3.5:data


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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 73.89%. A draw had a probability of 15% and a win for Hertha Berlin had a probability of 11.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 2-0 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.96%) and 3-0 (8.25%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.57%), while for a Hertha Berlin win it was 1-2 (3.24%). The actual scoreline of 4-3 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.


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Game History

Who will win Sunday's Bundesliga clash between Bayern Munich and Hertha Berlin?

Bayern Munich
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Hertha Berlin
0.0%
0
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Bayern Munich celebrate winning the UEFA Super Cup against Sevilla on September 24, 2020
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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Bayern MunichBayern108203372626
2RB Leipzig106311551021
3Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt1062226161020
4Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen104512116517
5Freiburg105231311217
6Union BerlinUnion Berlin1044298116
7Borussia DortmundDortmund105141818016
8Werder Bremen104331721-415
9Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach104241514114
10Mainz 05Mainz103431514113
11Stuttgart103431919013
12Wolfsburg103341918112
13Augsburg103341320-712
14Heidenheim103161315-210
15Hoffenheim102351319-69
16St Pauli10226712-58
17Holstein Kiel101271225-135
18VfL BochumVfL Bochum100281030-202


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