Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dnepr Mogilev win with a probability of 52.9%. A draw had a probability of 26.14% and a win for Arsenal Dzerzhinsk had a probability of 20.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Dnepr Mogilev win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.33%) and 2-1 (8.99%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.84%) , while for a Arsenal Dzerzhinsk win it was 0-1 (7.56%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 7.6% likelihood.