Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Torpedo-BelAZ win with a probability of 37.76%. A win for Slavia Mozyr had a probability of 32.37% and a draw had a probability of 29.87%.
The most likely scoreline for a Torpedo-BelAZ win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.56%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (7.67%) and 2-0 (7.07%). The likeliest Slavia Mozyr win was 0-1 (11.4%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.35%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 13.4% likelihood.