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Barnsley
Championship | Gameweek 40
Jun 30, 2020 at 6pm UK
Oakwell Ground
Blackburn logo

Barnsley
2 - 0
Blackburn

Chaplin (58'), Brown (76')
Simoes (39')
FT(HT: 0-0)

Davenport (90+1'), Chapman (90+4')

Preview: Barnsley vs. Blackburn Rovers - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's Championship meeting between Barnsley and Blackburn Rovers, including team news and predicted lineups.

Barnsley welcome Blackburn Rovers to Oakwell on Tuesday evening having moved to within four points of safety in the Championship table.

Meanwhile, Rovers are now four points adrift in the race for the playoffs after losing out at in-form Wigan Athletic on Saturday afternoon.


Match preview

Blackburn Rovers boss Tony Mowbray on June 20, 2020© Reuters

Like many of the teams in contention for a playoff spot, Blackburn have dropped points since the resumption, resulting in ground being lost on the top six.

Had Cardiff City not defeated Leeds United and Preston North End, Tony Mowbray would have a different perspective on his team's current situation, but the form of the Bluebirds has left several clubs now having to play catch-up.

Blackburn had appeared well on their way to building on their success over Bristol City as they entered the final quarter-of-an-hour against Lancashire rivals Wigan Athletic on Saturday afternoon.

However, conceding two late goals have left Rovers under pressure to retain a spot in the top 10 - something which will not be maintained if they suffer defeat on Tuesday.

With Leeds, Cardiff and West Bromwich Albion all to come in quick succession, Mowbray will feel that it is imperative that three points are posted against opponents who are well on track to pull off the great escape.

After a seven-game winless run, Gerhard Struber has guided Barnsley to 13 points over the same number of fixtures, a points-per-game ratio which is on par with the top two.

While Struber or his players will not be getting ahead of themselves, recording four points and two clean sheets from games against Queens Park Rangers and Millwall will have only increased the growing optimism at the club.

Over the remaining seven fixtures, Barnsley face a mix of games against teams fighting for promotion and relegation, but that should theoretically remove the chances of any complacency which may have set in against sides which have little to play for.

At a time when the defence have registered five shutouts over seven games, there is pressure on the attack, who have netted just three times from their last six outings.

Barnsley Championship form: WWLLWD

Blackburn Rovers Championship form: DDDLWL


Team News

Blackburn Rovers' Adam Armstrong celebrates scoring their first goal on December 7, 2019© Reuters

Blackburn manager Mowbray will likely hand a recall to striker Adam Armstrong, with Joe Rothwell potentially dropping out of the side.

However, Rovers will be without John Buckley, who serves the final game of his three-match ban, and the injured Corry Evans.

Amari'i Bell and Derrick Williams may earn a spot among the replacements after a spell on the sidelines.

Barring any late issues, Struber could opt against making any alternations to his Barnsley XI.

Having being brought off at half time against Millwall, youngster Elliot Simoes appears to be most at risk of losing his place in the team.

Barnsley possible starting lineup:
Sahin-Radlinger; Solibauer, Andersen, Williams; Ludewig, Palmer, Mowatt, Ritzmaier; Chaplin; Brown, Woodrow

Blackburn Rovers possible starting lineup:
Walton; Nyambe, Lenihan, Adarabioyo, Bennett; Holtby, Travis, Downing; Armstrong, Gallagher, Brereton


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Barnsley 1-2 Blackburn Rovers

While Barnsley are the form team heading into this contest, Blackburn have made a habit of picking up results to keep themselves in the playoff race. Despite being the marginal outsiders on Tuesday night, we expect Mowbray's team to battle their way to a narrow win.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Barnsley win with a probability of 40.82%. A win for Blackburn Rovers had a probability of 34.57% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Barnsley win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.25%) and 2-0 (6.31%). The likeliest Blackburn Rovers win was 1-2 (7.97%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.46%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Barnsley would win this match.


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Barnsley boss Gerhard Struber on February 8, 2020
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7Middlesbrough157352317624
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City155732019122
11Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
12Derby CountyDerby155461919019
13Stoke CityStoke155461819-119
14Norwich CityNorwich154652322118
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17Coventry CityCoventry154472021-116
18Plymouth ArgylePlymouth154471526-1116
19Hull City153661620-415
20Preston North EndPreston153661523-815
21Luton TownLuton154381726-915
22Cardiff CityCardiff154381423-915
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR151771225-1310


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