MX23RW : Saturday, November 23 04:36:41| >> :120:27890:27890:
[monks data]
Bournemouth logo
Championship | Gameweek 9
Oct 31, 2020 at 3pm UK
Vitality Stadium
Derby logo

Bournemouth
1 - 1
Derby

Riquelme (81')
Billing (12'), Rico (24')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Shinnie (14')
Knight (2')

Preview: Bournemouth vs. Derby County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County, including predictions and team news.

Bournemouth will be hoping to continue their unbeaten start to the Championship season when they host Derby County on Saturday afternoon.

A 1-0 win over Bristol City on Wednesday lifted the Cherries to second in the Championship, six points behind leaders Reading.


Match preview

Bournemouth's Joshua King in action with Bristol City's Zak Vyner in the Championship on October 28, 2020© Reuters

Arnaut Danjuma came off the bench to score the only goal of the game against the Robins as Bournemouth leapfrogged their opponents in the table.

The victory followed three consecutive draws and Jason Tindall admitted after the game that it was vital his side got back to winning ways.

Eddie Howe's long-time assistant is continuing to prove an inspired appointment as the Cherries aim to return to the Premier League at the first time of asking.

The South Coast side have not conceded at the Vitality Stadium since the opening day against the league's top scorers Blackburn Rovers.

They welcome a Derby team who are the Championship's second-lowest scorers, with just four goals to their name in eight matches.

Derby County's Martyn Waghorn celebrates scoring against Cardiff City in the Championship on October 28, 2020© Reuters

However Martyn Waghorn's return to the team has been very welcome, and the 30-year-old scored a fantastic free kick for the second game in a row as Derby drew 1-1 with Cardiff City on Wednesday.

It was not the victory that Phillip Cocu desperately craves – his side have won just once this season – but was enough to take them out of the Championship relegation zone.

Performances are improving, but the pressure on the Dutchman will not ease until he can navigate a way out of this perilous position that the Rams were not expected to be in.

Bournemouth and Derby have only faced each other on ten previous occasions, none of which finished 0-0. The Cherries have only won two of those meetings, which both came in the 1980s.

Bournemouth Championship form: WWDDDW

Derby County Championship form: LWLLDD


Team News

Bournemouth manager Jason Tindall pictured on September 24, 2020© Reuters

Jason Tindall has made a habit of rotating his side in recent weeks in order to cope with the Championship's busy fixture schedule.

Wednesday's goalscorer Arnaut Danjuma should come back in to start, while Philip Billing is also in line for a recall. David Brooks could return to the matchday squad following a spell on the sidelines.

Derby will be boosted by the return of Wayne Rooney following the former England captain's period of self-isolation.

Kamil Jozwiak had to be helped off the pitch against Cardiff after suffering a foot injury and is a doubt for the game.

In goal, David Marshall should be fit to return after missing the fixture against the Bluebirds with a back problem.

Bournemouth possible starting lineup:
Begovic; Mepham, Cook, Kelly; Stacey, Cook, Billing, Smith; Danjuma; King, Solanke

Derby County possible starting lineup:
Marshall; Wisdom, Davies, Clarke; Byrne, Rooney, Shinnie, Buchanan; Lawrence, Waghorn, Knight


SM words green background

We say: Bournemouth 2-0 Derby County

Rooney's return will help Derby but they will still find it hard to break down a well-organised Bournemouth side who have the attacking quality to punish teams. The pressure on Phillip Cocu will only continue to mount should his side lose on the South Coast.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a home win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Home Win:data


ID:420279:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect6802:

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bournemouth win with a probability of 46%. A win for Derby County had a probability of 27.67% and a draw had a probability of 26.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bournemouth win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.05%) and 2-0 (8.53%). The likeliest Derby County win was 0-1 (8.62%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.49%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 12.5% likelihood.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

Who will win the Championship clash between Bournemouth and Derby County?

Bournemouth
0.0%
Draw
0.0%
Derby County
0.0%
0
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Bournemouth manager Jason Tindall pictured on September 24, 2020
Read Next:
Jason Tindall hails Arnaut Danjuma after late winner for Bournemouth
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free daily transfer newsletter! Sent twice a day during the transfer window.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Liverpool119112161528
2Manchester CityMan City117222213923
3Chelsea115422113819
4Arsenal115421812619
5Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest115421510519
6Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton115421915419
7Fulham115331613318
8Newcastle UnitedNewcastle115331311218
9Aston Villa115331717018
10Tottenham HotspurSpurs1151523131016
11Brentford115152222016
12Bournemouth114341515015
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd114341212015
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham113351319-612
15Leicester CityLeicester112451421-710
16Everton112451017-710
17Ipswich TownIpswich111551222-108
18Crystal Palace11146815-77
19Wolverhampton WanderersWolves111371627-116
20Southampton11119721-144


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!