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Bragantino
Brasileiro | Gameweek 20
Sep 11, 2021 at 11pm UK
Diogao
Chapecoense

Bragantino
1 - 2
Chapecoense

Artur (38' pen.)
Weverton (52'), Helinho (76'), Cuello (78'), Praxedes (90')
FT(HT: 1-0)
Mike (79'), Ramon (90+5')
Busanello (37'), Ramon (89')

Preview: Bragantino vs. Chapecoense - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Brasileiro clash between Bragantino and Chapecoense, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Bragantino will play host to Chapecoense on Saturday, in a clash between sides at opposite ends of the Campeonato Brasileiro Serie A table.

The hosts currently occupy fourth spot, while their visitors go in search of a first league win of the season at the 20th time of asking.


Match preview

Red Bull Bragantino manager Mauricio Barbieri pictured in October 2020© Reuters

After 10 games of the league season, Bragantino sat at the summit of the Campeonato Brasileiro table with 22 points, but a dip in form has seen them fall from top spot.

A run of just one win from seven games resulted in a drop to fourth place, but Mauricio Barbieri's side appear to have bounced back recently.

Following a defeat to Juventude, the Massa Bruta travelled to take on America Mineiro, and Ytalo and Gabriel Novaes got on the scoresheet in an important 2-0 win.

They then played host to league leaders Atletico Mineiro last time out, and they took an early lead thanks to an own goal from Nathan Silva before withstanding pressure for the majority of the encounter.

Star forward Diego Costa drew the visitors level in the final five minutes to cost Bragantino the victory, but they should certainly take positives from the last two games.

Now trailing third-placed Fortaleza by one point and second-placed Palmeiras by three points, Barbieri's side have a good chance to quickly climb back into the top two if they can build on their upturn in form with a home win over a vulnerable Chapecoense outfit on Saturday.

Red Bull Bragantino team huddle before the match on June 20, 2021© Reuters

The visitors arrive with the hopes of collecting their first win of the campaign, after earning promotion from the second tier last season.

They were introduced back into the top flight with a trip to take on Bragantino, and Saturday's opponents thrashed them 3-0 before Jair Ventura's side suffered a defeat at the hands of title-chasing Palmeiras.

After a run of three consecutive draws in the first month of the campaign, Chape have been rooted to the foot of the Brazilian top flight, now sitting on just seven points from 19 league outings.

While they did earn three commendable draws in quick succession in August, taking points off America Mineiro, Atletico Goianiense and Sport Recife, that run was put to an end by a defeat to Fluminense last time out, as Perotti's goal was not enough to salvage a result after Raul Bobadilla and Luiz Henrique had put the visitors two goals ahead inside the first 20 minutes.

Now sitting 14 points adrift of safety, Ventura's men will be fully aware that they require a major transformation in the second half of the season to stand a chance of avoiding the drop, and they will hope to kickstart that push by claiming what would be an eye-catching scalp on Saturday.

Bragantino Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • D

Bragantino form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • D

Chapecoense Brasileiro form:
  • L
  • L
  • D
  • D
  • D
  • L



Team News

Chapecoense manager Jair Ventura on June 6, 2021© Reuters

Bragantino are expected to remain without forward Artur, who remains away with the Brazilian national team as they play their final game of the round of fixtures on Friday.

Raul, Bruno Tubarao and Lucas Evangelista are also expected to miss out, as they continue spells on the sidelines through injury.

The line will be led by Ytalo, who has hit an impressive tally of seven goals alongside three assists in 15 Brasileiro games so far this season.

Chapecoense forward Perotti will be pushing for a starting spot after he came off the bench to net a goal against Fluminense last time out.

He could replace Mike, who is yet to score in 12 appearances in the Brazilian top flight this campaign.

Anderson Jordan should again play an important role at the back, having starred as they ground out a goalless draw with Sport Recife, although Kadu could again start if Joilson misses continues to miss out.

Bragantino possible starting lineup:
Schwengber; Aderlan, Bruno, Natan, Edimar; Jadsom, Ramires; Cuello, Praxedes, Novaes; Ytalo

Chapecoense possible starting lineup:
Keiller; Matheus Ribeiro, Kadu, Jordan, Busanello; Melz, Santos, Moises Ribeiro, Silva; Perotti, Ramon


SM words green background

We say: Bragantino 3-0 Chapecoense

While Chapecoense will be desperate to find an elusive victory, we see them being brushed aside again on Saturday by a Bragantino side with their sights set on challenging for top spot.

Ventura's men have regularly failed to threaten in attack, while they face the tough task of dealing with one of the league's top-scoring sides, and we see them falling to a heavy defeat on their travels.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bragantino win with a probability of 53.1%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for Chapecoense had a probability of 20.74%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bragantino win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.6%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.96%) and 2-1 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.1%), while for a Chapecoense win it was 0-1 (8.06%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Bragantino vs Chapecoense

Bragantino
60.0%
Draw
40.0%
Chapecoense
0.0%
5
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14Athletico ParanaenseAthletico PR34117163741-440
15Fluminense34108163038-838
16JuventudeJuventude34911144254-1238
17CriciumaCriciuma34910153949-1037
18BragantinoBragantino34813133541-637
19Cuiaba34611172643-1729
20Atletico GoianienseAtletico GO3468202452-2826


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