Atletico Mineiro
Brasileiro
Dec 7, 2025 at 7pm UK
Arena MRV
Vasco da Gama

Atletico Mineiro
5 - 0
Vasco

Alonso (18'), Hulk (32'), Dudu (49', 69'), Luis (75' og.)
FT(HT: 2-0)

Moura (29')
Moura (31')
Coverage of the Brasileiro clash between Atletico Mineiro and Vasco da Gama.

Form, Standings, Stats

Atletico Mineiro

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Atletico Mineiro 5-0 Vasco
Sunday, December 7 at 7pm in Brasileiro

Vasco da Gama

All competitions
Brasileiro
Last Game: Fluminense 1-0 Vasco (3-4 pen.)
Sunday, December 14 at 11.30pm in Copa do Brasil

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atletico Mineiro win with a probability of 51.57%. A win for Vasco da Gama had a probability of 25.01% and a draw had a probability of 23.41%.

The most likely scoreline for a Atletico Mineiro win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.7%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.45%) and 2-0 (8.35%). The likeliest Vasco da Gama win was 1-2 (6.37%) , while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.97%). The actual scoreline of 5-0 was predicted with a 0.8% likelihood.

Result
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
51.57%23.41%25.01%
Both teams to score 56.96%
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
56.07%43.93%
Over 3.5Under 3.5
33.68%66.31%
Atletico Mineiro Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.92%17.07%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.75%47.25%
Vasco da Gama Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.69%31.3%
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.33%67.66%
Score Analysis
    Atletico Mineiro 51.57%
    Vasco da Gama 25.01%
    Draw 23.41%
Atletico MineiroDrawVasco da Gama
2-1 @ 9.7%
1-0 @ 9.45%
2-0 @ 8.35%
3-1 @ 5.71%
3-0 @ 4.92%
3-2 @ 3.32%
4-1 @ 2.53%
4-0 @ 2.17%
4-2 @ 1.47%
Other @ 3.96%
Total : 51.57%
1-1 @ 10.97%
2-2 @ 5.63%
0-0 @ 5.35%
3-3 @ 1.29%
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 23.41%
1-2 @ 6.37%
0-1 @ 6.21%
0-2 @ 3.6%
1-3 @ 2.47%
2-3 @ 2.18%
0-3 @ 1.4%
Other @ 2.78%
Total : 25.01%

Head to Head
Aug 10, 2025 8pm
Vasco
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Dec 4, 2024 10pm
gameweek 37
Vasco
2-0
Atletico Mineiro
Vegetti (52'), Coutinho (64')
Vegetti (30'), Piton (77'), Viana da Silva Gama (90+5')

Arana (43'), Franco (54'), Henrique (76')
Oct 19, 2024 10.30pm
Semi-Finals 2nd Leg
Vasco
1-1
Atletico Mineiro
Vegetti (37' pen.)
Luis Rodriguez (66'), Viana da Silva Gama (79'), Victor (88'), Scarpa (90')
Hulk (83')
Mendes (45+6')
Oct 2, 2024 11.15pm
Semi-Finals 1st Leg
Atletico Mineiro
2-1
Vasco
Arana (38'), Paulinho (44')
Coutinho (14')
Rodriguez (31'), Carvalho (42')
> Preview
Jul 21, 2024 8pm
gameweek 18
Atletico Mineiro
2-0
Vasco
Hulk (27', 39')
Alonso (46')

Moura (23')
> Preview