Brasileiro
Fluminense
Dec 7, 2025 7.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bahia
  • Nonato 9' yellowcard
  • Nonato 10' yellowcard
  • Samuel Xavier 68' yellowcard
  • Ganso 75' goal
  • Thiago Silva 83' goal
  • yellowcard Nicolas Acevedo 20'
  • yellowcard Erick da Costa Farias 74'
  • yellowcard Rodrigo Nestor 90'+2'

Fluminense vs Bahia - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

Form, Standings, Stats

Fluminense

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 12.30am
Gremio 1 - 2 Fluminense
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Kevin Serna

Bahia

All competitions
Last game
Dec 3, 2025 11.00pm
Bahia 2 - 0 Sport
Goals scored
50
Top scorer
Luciano

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Fluminense win with a probability of 61.03%. A draw had a probability of 22.59% and a win for Bahia had a probability of 16.38%.

The most likely scoreline for a Fluminense win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.9%) and 2-1 (9.66%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.68%) , while for a Bahia win it was 0-1 (5.91%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 11.9% likelihood.

Result

Fluminense 61.03%
Draw 22.59%
Bahia 16.38%

Both Teams to Score: 

46.46%

Goals

Over 2.5 48.64%
Under 2.5 51.36%
Over 3.5 26.82%
Under 3.5 73.18%
Over 4.5 12.53%
Under 4.5 87.47%

Fluminense Goals

Over 0.5 83.6%
Under 0.5 16.4%
Over 1.5 53.96%
Under 1.5 46.04%

Bahia Goals

Over 0.5 55.57%
Under 0.5 44.43%
Over 1.5 19.52%
Under 1.5 80.48%

Score analysis

Fluminense 61.02%
Draw 22.58%
Bahia 16.38%
Fluminense
1-0 @ 13.17%
2-0 @ 11.9%
2-1 @ 9.66%
3-0 @ 7.18%
3-1 @ 5.82%
4-0 @ 3.25%
4-1 @ 2.63%
3-2 @ 2.36%
5-0 @ 1.17%
4-2 @ 1.07%
Other @ 2.81%
Total : 61.02%
Draw
1-1 @ 10.68%
0-0 @ 7.29%
2-2 @ 3.92%
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 22.58%
Bahia
0-1 @ 5.91%
1-2 @ 4.33%
0-2 @ 2.4%
1-3 @ 1.17%
2-3 @ 1.06%
Other @ 1.51%
Total : 16.38%

Head to Head

Copa do Brasil
Fluminense
Sep 10, 2025 11.00pm
2
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Bahia
Copa do Brasil
Bahia
Aug 28, 2025 11.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
Fluminense
Brasileiro
Bahia
Aug 10, 2025 1.00am
3
3
HT : 0 0
FT
Fluminense
Brasileiro Gameweek 21
Fluminense
Aug 4, 2024 8.00pm
1
0
HT : 2 0
FT Estadio Jornalista Mario Filho
Bahia
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 14' goal
  • Diogo Barbosa 25' yellowcard
  • Thiago 36' yellowcard
  • Kaua Elias Nogueira 45' goal
  • Thiago Silva 62' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Carlos de Pena 84'
  • yellowcard Cauly Oliveira Souza 90'+2'
Brasileiro Gameweek 2
Bahia
Apr 17, 2024 1.30am
2
1
HT : 2 2
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Fluminense
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 20' yellowcard
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Caio Alexandre 34' goal
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Thaciano 40' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Everton Ribeiro 54' yellowcard
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Cauly Oliveira Souza 61' goal
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • Ganso 89' yellowcard
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • goal German Cano 4'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Vinicius Lima 47'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard Martinelli 51'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard John Kennedy 70'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Alexsander 77'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'
  • yellowcard Everaldo Stum 88'
Brasileiro Gameweek 31
Bahia
Oct 31, 2023 10.00pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT Arena Fonte Nova
Fluminense
  • Everaldo Stum 40' goal
  • Gilberto 48' yellowcard
  • Kanu 90' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Thiago 21'
  • yellowcard Eduardo Barros 22'
  • yellowcard David Braz 90'
  • yellowcard Leonardo Fernandez 90'+2'

Form Data

Gremio 1 - 2 Fluminense
Fluminense 6 - 0 Sao Paulo
Palmeiras 0 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 2 - 1 Flamengo
Cruzeiro 0 - 0 Fluminense
Fluminense 1 - 0 Mirassol
Bahia 2 - 0 Sport
Juventude 1 - 1 Bahia
Bahia 1 - 0 Vasco
Bahia 2 - 3 Fortaleza
Internacional 2 - 2 Bahia
Atletico Mineiro 3 - 0 Bahia