MX23RW : Tuesday, November 5 23:16:31| >> :120:8513:8513:
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Brentford logo
EFL Cup | Third Round
Sep 21, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Brentford Community Stadium
Oldham Athletic

Brentford
7 - 0
Oldham

Forss (3' pen., 16', 44', 60'), Wissa (38', 87'), Diarra (43' og.)
FT(HT: 5-0)

Clarke (79')

Preview: Brentford vs. Oldham Athletic - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's EFL Cup clash between Brentford and Oldham Athletic, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Brentford head into their EFL Cup third round tie with Oldham Athletic looking to back up their excellent start in the Premier League.

While all is well at the Bees, Oldham make the trip to the capital currently sitting at the bottom of the League Two standings.


Match preview

Ivan Toney celebrates scoring for Brentford against Wolverhampton Wanderers in the Premier League on September 18, 2021© Reuters

Having failed to defeat the likes of Crystal Palace and Brighton & Hove Albion, Brentford boss Thomas Frank may have had some concerns with how his side would handle the threat of a Wolverhampton Wanderers side seemingly growing in confidence.

However, last season's Championship playoff winners were superb at Molineux, riding their luck on occasions but emerging as fully-deserving 2-0 winners.

Even faced with the issue of playing with 10 men courtesy of Shandon Baptiste's avoidable red card, Brentford soaked up the pressure of the home side with relative ease.

Frank's team were helped by Ivan Toney offering an out-ball on countless occasions, but the rearguard effort at the other end bodes well for the future.

Brentford now have eight points from their opening fixtures, and their upcoming encounter at home to Liverpool will see many of their stars rested for this contest.

Brentford manager Thomas Frank on September 11, 2021© Reuters

Nevertheless, Frank will welcome another opportunity to hand game time to his squad members, many of them needing to get up to speed after battling past Forest Green Rovers in the second round.

At a time when Oldham are dealing with problems both on and off the pitch, their exploits in this competition gives Keith Curle and his squad a break from the pressures at Boundary Park.

There is unlikely to be one person who expects the Latics to prevail on Tuesday evening, particularly with just four goals being scored during their eight fourth-tier games.

Oldham have reached this stage of the tournament without winning in normal time, instead relying on penalty-shootout victories over Tranmere Rovers and Accrington Stanley respectively.

Positives will also be taken from claiming a goalless draw from their home fixture with high-flying Hartlepool United at the weekend.

Brentford EFL Cup form:
  • W

Brentford form (all competitions):
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • W

Oldham Athletic EFL Cup form:
  • D
  • D

Oldham Athletic form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • L
  • L
  • D



Team News

Northampton Town manager Keith Curle pictured in January 2020© Reuters

Frank will make sweeping changes to his Brentford XI, handing starts to the likes of Frank Onyeka and Yoane Wissa.

Mathias Jorgensen should feature after joining on a free transfer, while Dominic Thompson will hope for another opportunity on the left-hand side.

Providing that Frank sticks with three at the back, Ethan Pinnock and Sergi Canos may be the only players who remain in the team from the weekend.

Curle is also expected to make a number of alterations to his Oldham starting lineup.

Zachary Dearnley could be handed a chance in attack, while Jamie Bowden will hope to be recalled in central midfield.

Raphael Diarra may drop back into defence to hand League Two ever-present Carl Piergianni a rest.

Brentford possible starting lineup:
Fernandez; Roerslev, Jorgensen, Pinnock; Canos, Onyeka, Jensen, Thompson; Ghoddos, Forss, Wissa

Oldham Athletic possible starting lineup:
Leutwiler; Clarke, Diarra, Sheehan, Jameson; Bowden, Whelan; Bettache, Keillor-Dunn, Bahamboula; Dearnley


SM words green background

We say: Brentford 3-0 Oldham Athletic

Even with Brentford making widespread changes, this will likely prove to be a long evening for the visitors. While Oldham may threaten in short bursts, we expect the Bees to cruise to victory and keep a clean sheet in the process.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brentford win with a probability of 54.04%. A draw had a probability of 23.7% and a win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 22.29%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brentford win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.93%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.77%) and 2-0 (9.51%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.23%), while for a Oldham Athletic win it was 0-1 (6.46%). The actual scoreline of 7-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Brentford would win this match.


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Game History

How you voted: Brentford vs Oldham

Brentford
87.7%
Draw
6.6%
Oldham Athletic
5.7%
122
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Brentford's Ivan Toney celebrates scoring their first goal against Swansea City in the Championship playoff final on May 29, 2021
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