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Attendance: 30,124
Brighton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 28
Feb 29, 2020 at 12.30pm UK
 
Crystal Palace logo

0-1

FT(HT: 0-0)
Ayew (70')

Preview: Brighton & Hove Albion vs. Crystal Palace - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Brighton & Hove Albion and Crystal Palace, with predictions, team news and lineups.

Brighton & Hove Albion take on Crystal Palace at the Amex Stadium in the Premier League early kick off on Saturday, with both sides hoping to earn bragging rights in the A23 derby.

The Seagulls have been struggling for form of late and sit just four points clear of the relegation zone, while a win for Palace could see them rise as high as 11th.


Match preview

Brighton boss Graham Potter on February 8, 2020© Reuters

Without a win since the new year began, Brighton have been in freefall after a positive start under Graham Potter and now find themselves in a relegation scrap.

Three consecutive draws have altered the negative momentum somewhat and there would be no better way to end such a run of poor form than with a win over rivals Crystal Palace.

Potter's team have picked up just 13 points since the start of December and with only two wins in that time, and one clean sheet, the former Swansea City boss will need to get his side back to basics.

The bulk of Brighton's poor form has come away from home and bizarrely they are unbeaten in four home matches, although they have only won one of those games.

Patrick van Aanholt scores for Palace on February 22, 2020© Reuters

Palace have also been in poor form recently and secured their first win since Boxing Day against Newcastle United last weekend.

A Patrick van Aanholt strike just before half-time proved the difference and halted the club's slow fall towards the drop zone.

Roy Hodgson's team had lost their previous three before last weekend and have struggled in front of goal all season, hitting the net just 24 times in 27 league fixtures.

However, with 32 goals conceded they have the fifth best defence in the division and will have been boosted by the imminent return of Mamadou Sakho.

The reverse fixture between these two sides ended in a 1-1 draw after Wilfried Zaha ruled out Neal Maupay's opener at Selhurst Park.

Brighton Premier League form: LDLDDD

Crystal Palace Premier League form: DDLLLW


Team News

Crystal Palace's Mamadou Sakho looks dejected as he leaves the pitch after being shown a red card on December 3, 2019© Reuters

Brighton are still without long-term absentee Jose Izquierdo who is yet appear this season.

Beram Kayal and Dale Stephens are both doubts and are unlikely to start.

Palace centre-back Sakho made his return to training this week and while he is unlikely to feature on Saturday, he is closing in on a return.

Luka Milivojevic should return to the starting 11, while Cheikhou Kouyate is a doubt.

Meanwhile, Jeffrey Schlupp and James Tomkins have been ruled out.

Brighton possible starting lineup:
Ryan; Schelotto, Dunk, Duffy, Bernardo; Propper, Mooy; Trossard, Gross, March; Maupay

Crystal Palace possible starting lineup:
Guaita; Ward, Dann, Cahill, Van Aanholt; Ayew, McCarthy, Milivojevic, McArthur, Zaha; Benteke


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Brighton 1-0 Crystal Palace

Brighton have showed signs of improvement in recent weeks and should end their winless run on Saturday. Palace offer little going forward and with key absentees at the back, the Seagulls can sneak a tight win.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a win with a probability of 49.51%. A draw had a probability of 25.3% and a win for had a probability of 25.22%.

The most likely scoreline for a win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.52%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.42%) and 2-0 (9.04%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.01%), while for a win it was 0-1 (7.66%).


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Crystal Palace boss Roy Hodgson on February 1, 2020
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