Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.76% and a win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 20.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.