Bundesliga
May 16, 2026 2.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 0
FT BayArena
  • Patrik Schick 25' yellowcard
  • Arthur 62' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 62' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 62' yellowcard
  • Jonas Hofmann 63' yellowcard
  • Eliesse Ben Seghir 63' yellowcard
  • Jarell Quansah  78' goal
  • Lucas Vázquez 84' yellowcard
  • goal Fábio Vieira 61'
  • yellowcard Miro Muheim 62'
  • yellowcard Miro Muheim 63'
  • yellowcard Fabio Baldé 77'
  • yellowcard S. Nandja 77'
  • yellowcard Yussuf Poulsen 77'
  • yellowcard William Mikelbrencis 89'

Bayer Leverkusen vs Hamburger SV - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Bayer Leverkusen

All competitions
Last game
May 9, 2026 2.30pm
Stuttgart 3 - 1 B. Leverkusen
Goals scored
67
Top scorer
Patrik Schick

Hamburger SV

All competitions
Last game
May 10, 2026 2.30pm
Hamburger SV 3 - 2 Freiburg
Goals scored
39
Top scorer
Fabio Vieira

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayer Leverkusen win with a probability of 57.94%. A draw had a probability of 21.76% and a win for Hamburger SV had a probability of 20.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Bayer Leverkusen win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.65%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.19%) and 2-0 (8.43%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.53%) , while for a Hamburger SV win it was 1-2 (5.25%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result

Bayer Leverkusen 57.94% (+0.04)
Draw 21.76%
Hamburger SV 20.3%

Both Teams to Score: 

57.77% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 80.87% (+0.07)
Under 1.5 19.13% (-0.07)
Over 2.5 60.53% (+0.08)
Under 2.5 39.47% (-0.08)
Over 3.5 38.99% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 61.01% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 25.26% (+0.05)
Under 4.5 74.74% (-0.05)

First Half Winner

Bayer Leverkusen 44.73% (-0.02)
Draw 36.68%
Hamburger SV 18.58%

Team To Score First

Bayer Leverkusen 61.14% (-0.02)
No Goal 5.15% (-0.01)
Hamburger SV 33.71% (+0.04)

Corners

Over 8 62.42% (+0.04)
Equal 8 10.84%
Under 8 26.75% (-0.04)
Over 9 51% (+0.04)
Equal 9 11.42%
Under 9 37.58% (-0.04)
Over 10.5 39.95% (+0.03)
Under 10.5 60.05% (-0.03)

Bayer Leverkusen Goals

Over 1.5 58.08% (+0.06)
Under 1.5 41.92% (-0.06)
Over 2.5 32.57% (+0.05)
Under 2.5 67.43% (-0.05)
Over 3.5 15.15% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 84.85% (-0.04)

Hamburger SV Goals

Over 0.5 56.7% (+0.02)
Under 0.5 43.3% (-0.02)
Over 1.5 26.29% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 73.71% (-0.03)
Over 2.5 9.75% (+0.01)
Under 2.5 90.25% (-0.02)
Over 3.5 2.93%
Under 3.5 97.07%

Score analysis

Bayer Leverkusen 57.95%
Draw 21.76%
Hamburger SV 20.29%
Bayer Leverkusen
2-1 @ 9.65%
1-0 @ 9.19%
2-0 @ 8.43%
3-1 @ 6.44%
3-0 @ 5.71% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 3.71%
Other @ 14.82% (+0.04)
Total : 57.95%
Draw
1-1 @ 9.53%
2-2 @ 5.19% (+0.02)
0-0 @ 5.15% (-0.01)
3-3 @ 1.56% (+0.02)
Other @ 0.33%
Total : 21.76%
Hamburger SV
1-2 @ 5.25%
0-1 @ 4.79% (-0.01)
0-2 @ 2.39%
2-3 @ 2.24%
1-3 @ 2.1%
Other @ 2.6%
Total : 20.29%

Head to Head

Bundesliga Gameweek 17
Mar 4, 2026 7.30pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT Volksparkstadion
  • William Mikelbrencis 29' yellowcard
  • Otto Stange 65' yellowcard
  • Jean-Luc Dompé 65' yellowcard
  • Jordan Torunarigha 65' yellowcard
  • Albert Sambi Lokonga 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Malik Tillman 71'
  • goal Christian Kofane 73'
  • yellowcard Ernest Poku 80'
  • yellowcard Ezequiel Fernández 90'
Bundesliga
Feb 17, 2018 2.30pm
1
2
HT : 0 1
FT Volksparkstadion (Hamburg)
  • Mergim Mavraj 11' yellowcard
  • Andre Hahn 70' goal
  • Sejad Salihovic 77' yellowcard
  • goal Leon Bailey 40'
  • goal Kai Havertz 50'
  • yellowcard Panagiotis Retsos 53'
  • yellowcard Charles Aranguiz 87'
Bundesliga
Sep 24, 2017 5.00pm
3
0
HT : 2 0
FT
  • Kevin Volland 20' goal
  • Lucas Alario 23' goal
  • Wendell 41' yellowcard
  • Charles Aranguiz 75' yellowcard
  • Kevin Volland 83' goal
  • yellowcard Walace 22'
  • yellowcard Kyriakos Papadopoulos 26'
Bundesliga
Feb 3, 2017 7.30pm
1
0
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Kyriakos Papadopoulos 76' goal
  • yellowcard Karim Bellarabi 38'
  • yellowcard Kevin Kampl 69'
  • yellowcard Wendell 79'
Bundesliga
Sep 10, 2016 2.30pm
3
1
HT : 0 0
FT
  • Jonathan Tah 71' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 79' goal
  • Kevin Kampl 90' yellowcard
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 91' goal
  • Joel Pohjanpalo 94' goal
  • goal Bobby Wood 58'
  • yellowcard Aaron Hunt 83'
Bundesliga
Mar 13, 2016 2.30pm
1
0
HT : 1 0
FT
  • Albin Ekdal 0' goal
  • Marlon Frey 27' yellowcard
  • Omer Toprak 34' yellowcard
  • Wendell 49' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 96' yellowcard
  • Tin Jedvaj 96' redcard
  • Robbie Kruse 97' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Ivo Ilicevic 23'
  • yellowcard Nicolai Muller 31'