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Burton Albion
EFL Cup | First Round
Aug 11, 2021 at 7.45pm UK
Pirelli Stadium
Oxford United

Burton Albion
1 - 1
Oxford Utd

Mousinho (90+6' og.)
FT
(aet)
Holland (85')
Bodin (77')
Oxford Utd win 4-2 on penalties

Preview: Burton Albion vs. Oxford United - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's EFL Cup clash between Burton Albion and Oxford United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Burton Albion will be looking to maintain their impressive record in the first round of the EFL Cup when they welcome Oxford United to the Pirelli Stadium on Wednesday evening.

The Brewers have advanced from this stage in nine consecutive seasons and will fancy their chances of extending that run against fellow League One side Oxford.


Match preview

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink, now in charge of Burton Albion, pictured in January, 2021© Reuters

Albion memorably reached the semi-finals of this competition in 2018-19, where they were beaten 10-0 on aggregate by Manchester City.

Jimmy Floyd Hasselbaink will not be looking that far ahead just yet, of course, but Burton have been handed a favourable opening-round tie in this season's competition.

That said, the Brewers lost both league meetings with Oxford last season by an aggregate 9-1 scoreline, including a 5-1 loss the last time the sides met at the Pirelli Stadium.

However, Hasselbaink's side kicked off their 2021-22 campaign with a 1-0 win at Shrewsbury Town on Saturday thanks to John Brayford's strike with half an hour played.

Oxford United manager Karl Robinson is a busy man in October 2018© Reuters

Oxford were held 1-1 by Cambridge United in their opening game of the season, meanwhile, with Steve Seddon's first-half strike being cancelled out by a Joe Ironside penalty.

Burton will ultimately be the happier with how the opening weekend panned out, then, but both managers are likely to make changes for this midweek cup tie.

Like Burton, Oxford also have recent experience of going far in this competition, having reached the quarter-final stage in 2019-20.

Karl Robinson's main aim this season will be to challenge for a playoff spot, but victory against Burton here and there is no reason why another cup run cannot also be on the cards.

Burton Albion form (all competitions):
  • W

Oxford United form (all competitions):
  • D



Team News

Cameron Borthwick-Jackson in action for Leeds United in the EFL Cup on August 9, 2017© Reuters

Ryan Williams and Seddon were handed their full debuts for Oxford in the draw with Cambridge, while Billy Bodin was introduced from the bench.

Bodin is in contention to earn a place in the starting lineup on Wednesday, as are Marcus McGuane and Sam Winnall.

As for Burton, they are also expected to make a few changes for this cup tie, which is followed three days later by the visit of Ipswich Town.

Striker Kane Hemmings sustained an injury in pre-season and has been ruled out for the next three weeks in a big blow for Hasselbaink.

Lucas Akins led the line against Shrewsbury and that is likely to also be the case versus Oxford.

Joe Powell and Cameron Borthwick-Jackson are among those in contention for recalls to the starting XI.

Burton Albion possible starting lineup:
Garratt; Brayford, Shaughnessy, Leak, Borthwick-Jackson; Morris, O'Connor; Smith, Powell, Patrick; Akins

Oxford United possible starting lineup:
Stevens; Forde, Moore, Thorniley, Seddon; Brannagan, Henry; Bodin, McGuane, Whyte; Winnall


SM words green background

We say: Burton Albion 2-1 Oxford United

A lot will depend on the strength of the two sides fielded, but either way this is likely to be a tight contest at the Pirelli Stadium.

Oxford had the better of the two meetings last season, though we can see that changing here with Albion advancing to round two once again.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting that both teams will score (BTTS - yes) in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.BTTS Yes:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Oxford United win with a probability of 49.16%. A win for Burton Albion had a probability of 26.08% and a draw had a probability of 24.8%.

The most likely scoreline for a Oxford United win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.49%) and 0-2 (8.58%). The likeliest Burton Albion win was 1-0 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.76%).


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Data Failed

How you voted: Burton Albion vs Oxford Utd

Burton Albion
41.9%
Draw
28.4%
Oxford United
29.7%
74
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