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Cambuur
Eredivisie | Gameweek 29
May 6, 2022 at 7pm UK
Cambuur Stadion
Waalwijk logo

Cambuur
1 - 1
RKC Waalwijk

Smit (90+4')
Hoedemakers (76')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Schmidt (72' og.)
Adewoye (24')

Preview: Cambuur vs. RKC Waalwijk - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Friday's Eredivisie clash between Cambuur and RKC Waalwijk, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Having both all but moved out of reach of the relegation zone in the Eredivisie table, Cambuur and RKC Waalwijk will square off on Friday.

With an eight-point lead over the bottom three with three games remaining, the hosts just need to avoid a defeat in one of their last two games to confirm their survival, while the visitors sit five points clear of the relegation playoff place and need a maximum of five points if the sides in the relegation zone do not slip up.


Match preview

Following their promotion from the Dutch second tier last season, Cambuur enjoyed an eye-catching start to the Eredivisie campaign, winning nine of their opening 16 league games to sit well inside the top half on 27 points.

However, they have seen their form take a sharp dip since mid-December, having now added just one more notch to their wins column in 15 attempts while suffering 10 defeats.

That lone victory came over Fortuna Sittard in late February, but they have since gained one point from seven matches, with the triumph firstly followed by six straight defeats.

Henk De Jong's side finally managed to arrest their losing run last time out, although they will have left disheartened as Heerenveen snatched a 96th-minute equaliser after Mitchel Paulissen looked to have sealed all three points with an injury-time goal to make it 3-2.

While the Yellow-Blues will be disappointed with their form since the turn of the year, the strong first half to the campaign has given them a major head start over the bottom three, and, with an eight-point lead over the relegation playoff place with three games to go, a point or a mistake from the chasing teams would suffice to preserve their top-flight status.

Their visitors, meanwhile, have found themselves in and around the bottom three throughout the entirety of the campaign, having struggled to establish any real consistency.

After narrow defeats to FC Twente and league leaders Ajax in March, Joseph Oosting's side hugely boosted their survival hopes with draws against Heerenveen and FC Utrecht either side of an impressive 2-1 win away at sixth-placed Vitesse, before they were again condemned to consecutive losses.

They were able to remove any realistic doubt last time out, though, returning to winning ways with a 3-1 defeat of eighth-placed Groningen, thanks to a Finn Stokkers brace and Richard van der Venne's goal, all inside the first half.

That victory stretched RKC Waalwijk's lead over the relegation zone from two points to five, and, with just three games left to play, a positive result on Friday would see them take another major step towards confirming their survival.

Cambuur Eredivisie form:
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • L
  • D

RKC Waalwijk Eredivisie form:
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L
  • L
  • W



Team News

Cambuur will likely remain without Tom Boere and Maxim Gullit, as the duo continue to nurse injury issues.

However, they will welcome back defender Sekou Sylla from a suspension, and he will battle to displace David Sambissa, who filled in at left-back in his absence last time out.

Roberts Uldrikis will continue to lead the line, having hit his sixth league goal of the season in the draw with Heerenveen.

RKC Waalwijk, meanwhile, will likely have no selection concerns to deal with, and Oosting may deploy an unchanged starting XI after last week's win.

After his brace last time out, Finn Stokkers will keep a place in attack alongside Michiel Kramer, who has netted 10 goals in 29 Eredivisie appearances since joining from ADO Den Haag in the summer.

They have tended to line up in a 3-4-1-2 system recently, with Richard van der Venne supporting the front two and Vurnon Anita anchoring the midfield alongside Yassin Oukili.

Cambuur possible starting lineup:
Stevens; Schmidt, Schouten, Mac-Intosh, Sylla; Hoedemakers, Jacobs, Maulun; Joosten, Uldrikis, Kallon

RKC Waalwijk possible starting lineup:
Vaessen; Adewoye, Meulensteen, Touba; Bakari, Oukili, Anita, Buttner; Van Der Venne; Kramer, Stokkers


SM words green background

We say: Cambuur 1-2 RKC Waalwijk

RKC Waalwijk will be full of confidence after their win over Groningen to move clear of the drop zone, and we back them to make it two wins in a row against a Cambuur side who have not fared well in recent months and are slightly too comfortable to be fighting for survival.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 3.5:data



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cambuur win with a probability of 40.99%. A win for RKC Waalwijk had a probability of 34.93% and a draw had a probability of 24.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cambuur win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.63%) and 2-0 (6.05%). The likeliest RKC Waalwijk win was 1-2 (8%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.04%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with an 11% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Cambuur vs RKC Waalwijk

Cambuur
31.4%
Draw
37.1%
RKC Waalwijk
31.4%
35
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Tables header RHS
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1SBV ExcelsiorExcelsior1492332181429
2Helmond SportHelmond148332217527
3De GraafschapDe Graafschap1475233221126
4FC VolendamVolendam1482432221026
5Den BoschDen Bosch1474326141225
6Dordrecht147432418625
7EmmenEmmen147342417724
8TelstarTelstar155732316722
9Cambuur147161512322
10ADO Den HaagADO Den Haag145632317621
11Roda JC145541519-420
12Jong AZJong AZ145272427-317
13FC EindhovenFC Eindhoven154471524-916
14TOP OssOss144461124-1316
15Jong PSVJong PSV144282125-414
16MVV MaastrichtMVV152761824-613
17Jong AjaxJong Ajax142661417-312
18VVV-VenloVVV-Venlo1532101329-1611
19Jong FC UtrechtJong Utrecht141581328-158
20Vitesse142661826-86


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