MX23RW : Monday, December 23 16:54:50| >> :600:291089:291089:
[monks data]
Cardiff City logo
Championship | Gameweek 4
Aug 21, 2021 at 3pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Millwall logo

Cardiff
3 - 1
Millwall

Flint (66', 70'), Morrison (83')
Flint (51'), Nelson (86')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Afobe (76')
Cooper (65')

Preview: Cardiff City vs. Millwall - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Millwall, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Cardiff City will be aiming to maintain their unbeaten start to the 2021-22 campaign when they take on Millwall in South Wales on Saturday afternoon.

The Bluebirds are unbeaten in four games in all competitions this term and are ninth after three Championship games, while Millwall find themselves three points worse off in 19th.


Match preview

Cardiff City manager Mick McCarthy pictured on February 16, 2021© Reuters

After a slightly underwhelming 1-1 draw at home to Barnsley on the opening weekend of the new season, Cardiff have since collected a respectable four points from two away games.

Mick McCarthy's side were good value for their 2-0 win at Blackpool last weekend and followed that up with a dramatic 2-2 draw at Peterborough United in midweek.

The Bluebirds looked dead a buried in a match they trailed by two goals heading into the final 10 minutes, only for Aden Flint's double to snatch an unlikely point.

City were poor for 75 minutes of the contest, but they still managed to avoid defeat and are one of seven teams yet to taste defeat in the second tier this term.

Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021© Reuters

Millwall also went unbeaten through their first three games, drawing with Queens Park Rangers and Blackburn Rovers in the league, either side of beating Portsmouth in the EFL Cup.

However, the Lions came unstuck at home to London rivals Fulham in the week, with Aleksandar Mitrovic and Fabio Carvalho's early goal at The Den proving enough for the visitors.

Benik Afobe's late header gave Gary Rowett's side hope, but Millwall were second best pretty much throughout the match and can have no complaints.

That loss puts a different slant on things, as Lions fans will point out that they are winless in three in the league this term and need to put that right sooner rather than later.

The bad news for Millwall is that they are winless in eight away league matches against Cardiff, stretching back to a 1-0 win in February 2005 in which there were three red cards.

Cardiff City Championship form:
  • D
  • W
  • D

Cardiff City form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • W
  • D

Millwall Championship form:
  • D
  • D
  • L

Millwall form (all competitions):
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • L



Team News

Cardiff City's Kieffer Moore celebrates scoring their first goal against Reading in the Championship on April 16, 2021© Reuters

McCarthy has made just one change between matches in the league this term, but that could change here given how poor his side were for large parts against Peterborough.

Kieffer Moore has had another few days to regain fitness and is in strong contention for a first league start of the season here.

Mark Harris and Rubin Colwill helped swing the game in Cardiff's favour against Peterborough and will also both surely be in McCarthy's thoughts to face Millwall.

Rowett made a couple of changes to Millwall's starting lineup last time out, meanwhile, by bringing in Mahlon Romeo and Ryan Leonard for Danny McNamara and George Evans.

Romeo was replaced at the interval by Matt Smith with the Lions chasing a route back into the game, and Rowett may well opt to line up slightly differently on Saturday.

The visitors have been without injured pair Mason Bennett and Shaun Hutchinson, but they otherwise has a full squad of players to choose from for this trip to South Wales.

Cardiff City possible starting lineup:
Phillips; Morrison, Flint, Nelson; Ng, Pack, Vaulks, Bagan; Harris, Colwill; Moore

Millwall possible starting lineup:
Bialkowski; Ballard, Cooper, Wallace; McNamara, Kieftenbeld, Evans, Saville, Malone; Wallace, Afobe


SM words green background

We say: Cardiff City 1-1 Millwall

These sides have drawn four of the six matches that they have played in the league this season, while the last seven Championship meetings between them have finished all square.

That includes a couple of 1-1 draws last season, a scoreline that we can see being matched at the Cardiff City Stadium on Saturday.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 2.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Under 2.5:data



ID:459857:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect9313:
Written by
Daniel Lewis

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 39.79%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 31.83% and a draw had a probability of 28.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.46%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.08%) and 2-0 (7.61%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (10.82%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (13.22%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Cardiff vs Millwall

Cardiff City
58.7%
Draw
31.7%
Millwall
9.5%
63
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Millwall manager Gary Rowett pictured in February 2021
Read Next:
Gary Rowett admits Millwall were 'beaten by a far better side'
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd22155232112148
2Leeds UnitedLeeds22136341152645
3Burnley2212822891944
4Sunderland22127334181643
5Blackburn RoversBlackburn2111462518737
6Middlesbrough22105738281035
7West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom22811326161035
8Watford2110473028234
9Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds229582830-232
10Millwall217772118328
11Swansea CitySwansea227692424027
12Bristol City226972628-227
13Norwich CityNorwich226883734326
14Queens Park RangersQPR2251072328-525
15Luton TownLuton2274112538-1325
16Derby CountyDerby2266102728-124
17Coventry CityCoventry2266102834-624
18Preston North EndPreston2241172229-723
19Stoke CityStoke2257102330-722
20Portsmouth204882535-1020
21Hull City2247112131-1019
22Cardiff CityCardiff2146111934-1518
23Oxford UnitedOxford Utd2146112137-1618
24Plymouth ArgylePlymouth2146112245-2318


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!