MX23RW : Tuesday, December 3 17:33:18| >> :600:372625:372625:
[monks data]
Carlisle United
League Two | Gameweek 37
Mar 15, 2022 at 7.45pm UK
Brunton Park
Newport County

Carlisle
1 - 2
Newport

Patrick (80')
FT(HT: 0-1)
Demetriou (15'), Azaz (65')

Preview: Carlisle United vs. Newport County - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Tuesday's League Two clash between Carlisle United and Newport County, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Carlisle United will be aiming to clinch a fifth consecutive victory when they welcome Newport County to Brunton Park for a League Two contest on Tuesday.

The visitors, who sit in third place, are also enjoying a rich vein of form after avoiding defeat in their last seven games.


Match preview

After 31 league fixtures, Carlisle occupied a place in the relegation zone, but after picking up maximum points from their next four matches, they are now nine points clear of the bottom two.

They collected the latest of those victories at the weekend when they squeezed past Northampton Town in a contest that came to life in the closing stages.

Tobi Sho-Silva opened the scoring in the 74th minute to give the Cumbrians the lead, but Paul Lewis equalised just six minutes later before Jordan Gibson snatched all three points for Carlisle after scoring from the spot in the fourth minute of stoppage time.

Having scored two goals in each of their last three outings, the Cumbrians will be confident that they can find the net on Tuesday.

If his team are to be successful against Newport, Paul Simpson will know his side cannot afford to fall behind as Carlisle have collected just four points from losing positions this season.

Newport County, meanwhile, currently occupy an automatic promotion spot thanks to a superior goal difference compared to fourth-placed Tranmere.

However, due to the close nature of the League Two table, the Exiles enter Tuesday's contest just two points clear of Bristol Rovers, who sit in eighth position.

Not only did an away win over Stevenage at the weekend extend Newport's unbeaten run to six matches, but it also represented back-to-back victories for the Exiles.

Rob Street gave Newport the lead against Stevenage in the 47th minute, before Ryan Haynes wrapped up the three points to keep James Rowberry's side on track for automatic promotion.

As they head on the road for another away trip, Newport will take inspiration from the fact that they hold the third-best away record in League Two.

Carlisle United League Two form:
  • D
  • L
  • W
  • W
  • W
  • W

Newport County League Two form:
  • D
  • D
  • W
  • D
  • W
  • W



Team News

Carlisle could be without the services of Jamie Devitt, who limped off at the weekend due to a hamstring injury.

Rodney McDonald and Brennan Dickenson returned from their respective injuries to feature on the bench on Saturday, with the former an unused substitute, while Dickenson could come into Tuesday's lineup after playing 30 minutes against Northampton.

Following his goal at the weekend, Sho-Silva may have earned himself a place in the Carlisle starting XI.

As for Newport, injury issues leaves them without the services of Josh Pask, Robbie Willmott, Courtney Baker-Richardson, Courtney Senior and Priestley Farquharson.

Oli Cooper is a doubt after missing Saturday's contest, but James Clarke will once again feature after returning from suspension against Stevenage.

Matthew Dolan and Haynes both made substitute appearances at the weekend, and they could come into the lineup for Tuesday's contest.

Carlisle United possible starting lineup:
Howard; Riley, Simeu, Feeney, Mellish, Armer; Gibson, Guy, Dickenson; Sho-Silva, Patrick

Newport County possible starting lineup:
Townsend; Norman, Demetriou, Clarke, Haynes; Dolan, Bennett, Azaz, Waite; Street, Telford


SM words green background

We say: Carlisle United 1-1 Newport County

The last two meetings between the sides have ended all square and with no team wanting to see their unbeaten run come to an end, we think Tuesday's contest may result in the spoils being shared.



Top tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting over 1.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Over 1.5:data



ID:480680:1false2false3false:QQ:: from db desktop :LenBod:collect7888:
Written by
Ben Sully

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.04%. A draw had a probability of 27.9% and a win for Carlisle United had a probability of 26.04%.

The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.27%) and 1-2 (8.59%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.89%), while for a Carlisle United win it was 1-0 (9.68%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.


Previews by email

Click here to get Sports Mole's daily email of previews and predictions for every major game!


Game History

How you voted: Carlisle vs Newport

Carlisle United
53.6%
Draw
21.4%
Newport County
25.0%
28
Collect / Create New Data
Share this article now:
Northampton Town manager Keith Curle pictured in January 2020
Read Next:
Keith Curle looking for stronger defensive resilience at Oldham
>
Sports Mole Logo
Enter your email address to subscribe to Sports Mole's free match previews newsletter! Updates are sent twice a week.
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
FT
Browns
32-41
Broncos
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Port Vale1710432517834
2Walsall1694330171331
3Crewe AlexandraCrewe178632115630
4Doncaster RoversDoncaster178542218429
5Notts County177732315828
6MK Dons168352719827
7AFC Wimbledon1682625141126
8Chesterfield1767430201025
9Grimsby Town178181926-725
10Bradford CityBradford166552117423
11Gillingham167271714323
12Fleetwood TownFleetwood155732015522
13BarrowBarrow176471716122
14Cheltenham TownCheltenham176382225-321
15Salford City165651518-321
16Newport CountyNewport176381926-721
17Harrogate TownHarrogate176381623-721
18Colchester UnitedColchester173951922-318
19Accrington StanleyAccrington164662226-418
20Bromley163851921-217
21Tranmere RoversTranmere164571020-1017
22Carlisle UnitedCarlisle1835101530-1514
23Swindon TownSwindon172782028-813
24Morecambe1734101729-1213


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!