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Celta Vigo logo
La Liga | Gameweek 30
Jun 21, 2020 at 1pm UK
Municipal de Balaidos
Alaves logo

Celta Vigo
6 - 0
Alaves

Murillo (14'), Aspas (20' pen.), Rafinha (40', 41'), Nolito (78' pen.), Mina (86')
Yokuslu (16')
FT(HT: 4-0)

Perez (15')

Preview: Celta Vigo vs. Alaves - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Sunday's La Liga clash between Celta Vigo and Alaves, including team news and predicted lineups.

Celta Vigo will be looking to boost their survival hopes in Spain's top flight when they continue their 2019-20 campaign with a home match against Alaves on Sunday afternoon.

Oscar Garcia's side are currently 17th in the La Liga table, while Alaves occupy 12th and are not really in danger of being dragged into the relegation mix in the latter stages of the season.


Match preview

Celta Vigo's Iago Aspas celebrates scoring their second goal from the penalty spot with Hugo Mallo © Reuters

Celta are currently just above the bottom three in 17th, although they could enter this match in the relegation zone as all three teams below them - Mallorca, Leganes and Espanyol - will play before this particular game.

There is no getting away from the fact that it has been a tough season for the Sky Blues, who have only won five of their 29 league matches, which is the joint-worst record in the division.

They have actually lost just one of their last seven in Spain's top flight but only two victories have arrived during that run, with too many draws keeping them in the relegation mix at this stage.

Celta have drawn three of their last four league matches 0-0, including away to Real Valladolid on Wednesday night, but they lost their last home game 1-0 to Villarreal on June 13.

The Vigo-based side are winless in their last four league matches with Alaves, meanwhile, and suffered a 2-0 defeat in the reverse match earlier this season.

Alaves forward Lucas Perez pictured in December 2019© Reuters

Alaves also ran out 1-0 winners when they last travelled to Celta in October 2018, and the visitors will enter this game off the back of an impressive 2-0 success over Real Sociedad on Thursday night.

Asier Garitano's side have consolidated their spot in La Liga over the last three seasons - finishing ninth, 14th and 11th - and they are in a very strong position to secure another campaign at this level.

Indeed, a total of 35 points from their 29 matches has left them in 12th spot in the table, 10 points clear of the relegation zone, although the gap could be shortened by the time that this game kicks off.

Alaves are actually winless in their last four fixtures away from home in Spain's top flight and suffered a 2-0 loss at struggling Espanyol on June 13 as they resumed their season amid the coronavirus pandemic.

Celta La Liga form: DWDDLD

Alaves La Liga form: LWDDLW


Team News

Real Madrid's Gareth Bale in action with Celta Vigo's Lucas Olaza in La Liga on August 17, 2019© Reuters

Celta announced earlier this week that they had re-signed Nolito from Sevilla on an emergency deal, but the attacker is struggling with injury and faces a battle to be involved this weekend.

David Junca and Sergio Alvarez are also both on the sidelines, but Hugo Mallo should be back from a knock.

Iago Aspas missed a penalty in the draw with Valladolid but is again expected to start alongside Fedor Smolov in the final third of the field, with Pione Sisto again on the bench.

As for Alaves, Tomas Pina's red card against Sociedad means that the midfielder is suspended for this match, while Ruben Duarte is also banned courtesy of the yellow card that he picked up in the same game.

First-choice goalkeeper Fernando Pacheco is back from a suspension of his own, but Rodrigo Ely and Aleix Vidal are still on the sidelines for the visitors, who are expected to have Lucas Perez and Joselu leading their line once again.

Celta possible starting lineup:
Blanco; Mallo, Aidoo, Murillo, Araujo, Olaza; Rafinha, Yokuslu, Beltran; Aspas, Smolov

Alaves possible starting lineup:
Pacheco; Navarro, Laguardia, Magalian, Marin; Rioja, Camarasa, Fejsa, Sainz; Perez, Joselu


Sports Mole Logo

We say: Celta 2-2 Alaves

Only Atletico Madrid (13) have drawn more La Liga games than Celta (12) this season, and we fancy another draw in Sunday's encounter. Alaves will be full of confidence after a strong result against Sociedad, but Celta have enough quality to pick up a share of the spoils in this game.



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Celta Vigo win with a probability of 48.89%. A draw had a probability of 27.1% and a win for Alaves had a probability of 23.98%.

The most likely scoreline for a Celta Vigo win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.01%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.88%) and 2-1 (8.88%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.59%), while for an Alaves win it was 0-1 (8.93%). The actual scoreline of 6-0 was predicted with a 0.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Celta Vigo would win this match.


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Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Barcelona14111242142834
2Atletico MadridAtletico148512181329
3Real Madrid1283125111427
4Villarreal127322319424
5GironaGirona146352018221
6Mallorca146351312121
7Osasuna136341720-321
8Athletic Bilbao135531913620
9Real BetisBetis145541616020
10Real Sociedad135351110118
11Celta Vigo145362224-218
12Rayo Vallecano124441313016
13Sevilla134361218-615
14Leganes133551316-314
15Getafe142751011-113
16AlavesAlaves144191524-913
17Las PalmasLas Palmas143381825-712
18Valencia122461219-710
19Espanyol133191226-1410
20Real ValladolidValladolid142391027-179


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