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Championship | Gameweek 35
Mar 4, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Cardiff City Stadium
Bristol City

Cardiff
2 - 0
Bristol City

Kaba (52'), Philogene-Bidace (70')
Allsop (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Championship clash between Cardiff City and Bristol City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Norwich 2-0 Cardiff
Saturday, February 25 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Cardiff City 2-2 Bristol City

Despite a defeat last time out against Norwich, Cardiff are looking significantly improved under Lamouchi and will view this Severnside derby as a good opportunity to further distance themselves from the bottom three. Bristol endured arguably the hardest workout in English football against Manchester City on Tuesday night, and going toe-to-toe with Pep Guardiola's side should set them up well for a return to Championship action this weekend. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Cardiff City win with a probability of 45.99%. A draw had a probability of 27.3% and a win for Bristol City had a probability of 26.73%.

The most likely scoreline for a Cardiff City win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.05%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.98%) and 2-1 (8.79%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.78%), while for a Bristol City win it was 0-1 (9.29%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Cardiff City would win this match.

Result
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
45.99% (-0.009999999999998 -0.01) 27.28% (0.0010000000000012 0) 26.73% (0.013999999999999 0.01)
Both teams to score 46.66% (0.010999999999996 0.01)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
41.84% (0.0069999999999979 0.01)58.16% (-0.0040000000000049 -0)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
21.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)78.82% (-0.0019999999999953 -0)
Cardiff City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.73% (-0.00099999999999056 -0)25.27% (0.004999999999999 0)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.97% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)60.03% (0.007000000000005 0.01)
Bristol City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.43% (0.016000000000005 0.02)37.57% (-0.012 -0.01)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.65% (0.015999999999998 0.02)74.35% (-0.013000000000005 -0.01)
Score Analysis
    Cardiff City 45.98%
    Bristol City 26.73%
    Draw 27.28%
Cardiff CityDrawBristol City
1-0 @ 13.05% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
2-0 @ 8.98% (-0.0040000000000013 -0)
2-1 @ 8.79%
3-0 @ 4.12% (-0.0020000000000007 -0)
3-1 @ 4.03% (-0.0010000000000003 -0)
3-2 @ 1.97% (0.00099999999999989 0)
4-0 @ 1.42% (-0.00099999999999989 -0)
4-1 @ 1.39%
Other @ 2.23%
Total : 45.98%
1-1 @ 12.78%
0-0 @ 9.49% (-0.00099999999999945 -0)
2-2 @ 4.3% (0.0010000000000003 0)
Other @ 0.7%
Total : 27.28%
0-1 @ 9.29% (0.0019999999999989 0)
1-2 @ 6.26% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 4.55% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.04% (0.0019999999999998 0)
0-3 @ 1.48% (0.00099999999999989 0)
2-3 @ 1.41% (0.0010000000000001 0)
Other @ 1.7%
Total : 26.73%

How you voted: Cardiff vs Bristol City

Cardiff City
32.0%
Draw
16.0%
Bristol City
52.0%
25
Head to Head
Aug 21, 2022 12pm
Bristol City
2-0
Cardiff
Conway (41'), Atkinson (64')
Massengo (36'), Vyner (60'), Williams (81'), Scott (89')

Kipre (63'), Colwill (75'), Wintle (89')
Jan 22, 2022 12.30pm
Bristol City
3-2
Cardiff
Martin (33', 63'), Weimann (77')
Pring (73')
Collins (31'), Watters (90')
Collins (23'), Ralls (44')
Aug 28, 2021 12.30pm
Cardiff
1-2
Bristol City
Bentley (59' og.)
Morrison (74'), Ralls (87')
Weimann (21', 70')
Semenyo (74'), Martin (74')
Feb 6, 2021 3pm
Bristol City
0-2
Cardiff

Lansbury (45+8'), Mawson (45+11'), Hunt (71')
Nelson (18'), Moore (25')
Phillips (75'), Nelson (90+2')
Nov 6, 2020 6pm
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd1610422191232
2Sunderland1594225111431
3Burnley168621961330
4Leeds UnitedLeeds158522491529
5Middlesbrough1683529191027
6West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom166821811726
7Watford168262524126
8Millwall156541813523
9Blackburn RoversBlackburn156451917222
10Bristol City165742020022
11Derby CountyDerby165562020020
12Stoke CityStoke165561920-120
13Norwich CityNorwich164752524119
14Swansea CitySwansea155461110119
15Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds165471826-819
16Luton TownLuton165381826-818
17Coventry CityCoventry164572223-117
18Oxford UnitedOxford Utd164571924-517
19Plymouth ArgylePlymouth164571728-1117
20Preston North EndPreston163761624-816
21Cardiff CityCardiff164481524-916
22Hull City163671621-515
23Portsmouth152671628-1212
24Queens Park RangersQPR161871326-1311


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