Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Coventry City win with a probability of 44.56%. A win for Middlesbrough had a probability of 31.29% and a draw had a probability of 24.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Coventry City win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.16%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.41%) and 2-0 (6.87%). The likeliest Middlesbrough win was 1-2 (7.47%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.2%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 6.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Coventry City would win this match.