Championship
May 2, 2026 12.30pm
2
0
HT : 1 0
FT The Den
  • Femi Azeez 34' goal
  • Femi Azeez 48' goal
  • Alfie Doughty 61' yellowcard
  • Billy Mitchell 61' yellowcard
  • Luke Cundle 62' yellowcard
  • Will Smallbone  73' yellowcard
  • Macaulay Langstaff 81' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 16'
  • yellowcard Mark Harris 59'
  • yellowcard Jamie Carson McDonnell 59'
  • yellowcard Jin-woo Jeon 59'
  • yellowcard Sam Long 88'

Millwall vs Oxford United - Match Guide, Data Analysis, Standings

The match

Match Preview

Form, Standings, Stats

Millwall

All competitions
Last game
Apr 24, 2026 8.00pm
Leicester 1 - 1 Millwall
Goals scored
64
Top scorer
Josh Coburn

Oxford United

All competitions
Last game
Apr 25, 2026 3.00pm
Oxford Utd 4 - 1 Sheff Weds
Goals scored
45
Top scorer
Will Lankshear

Data analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Millwall win with a probability of 57.2%. A draw had a probability of 23.29% and a win for Oxford United had a probability of 19.51%.

The most likely scoreline for a Millwall win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.03%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (10.03%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.2%) , while for a Oxford United win it was 0-1 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 10.4% likelihood.

Result

Millwall 57.2%
Draw 23.29%
Oxford United 19.51%

Both Teams to Score: 

49.53% (+0.04)

Goals

Over 1.5 73.84% (+0.03)
Under 1.5 26.16% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 49.38% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 50.62% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 27.66% (+0.04)
Under 3.5 72.34% (-0.04)
Over 4.5 16.03% (+0.02)
Under 4.5 83.97% (-0.02)

First Half Winner

Millwall 44%
Draw 40.99%
Oxford United 15.01%

Team To Score First

Millwall 62.91% (+0.01)
No Goal 6.96% (-0.01)
Oxford United 30.13%

Corners

Over 8 65.87%
Equal 8 10.27%
Under 8 23.86%
Over 9 54.71%
Equal 9 11.16%
Under 9 34.13%
Over 10.5 43.58%
Under 10.5 56.42%

Millwall Goals

Over 1.5 50.76% (+0.04)
Under 1.5 49.24% (-0.04)
Over 2.5 24.67% (+0.04)
Under 2.5 75.33% (-0.04)
Over 3.5 9.52% (+0.01)
Under 3.5 90.48% (-0.01)

Oxford United Goals

Over 0.5 54.34% (+0.03)
Under 0.5 45.66% (-0.03)
Over 1.5 21.25% (+0.02)
Under 1.5 78.75% (-0.02)
Over 2.5 6.1%
Under 2.5 93.9%
Over 3.5 1.43%
Under 3.5 98.57%

Score analysis

Millwall 57.22%
Draw 23.29%
Oxford United 19.5%
Millwall
1-0 @ 13.03%
2-0 @ 10.35% (-0.01)
2-1 @ 10.03%
3-0 @ 5.82%
3-1 @ 5.68% (+0.01)
3-2 @ 2.8% (+0.01)
Other @ 9.51% (+0.01)
Total : 57.22%
Draw
1-1 @ 11.2%
0-0 @ 6.96% (-0.01)
2-2 @ 4.27% (+0.01)
Other @ 0.01%
Total : 23.29%
Oxford United
0-1 @ 6.18%
1-2 @ 5.18%
0-2 @ 2.9% (-0.02)
1-3 @ 1.69%
2-3 @ 1.44%
Other @ 1.42%
Total : 19.5%

Head to Head

Championship
Nov 1, 2025 3.00pm
2
2
HT : 0 0
FT
Championship Gameweek 25
Jan 1, 2025 1.00pm
0
1
HT : 0 0
FT The Den
  • goal Ruben Rodrigues 57'
  • yellowcard Cameron Brannagan 64'
Championship Gameweek 18
Nov 30, 2024 12.30pm
1
1
HT : 0 1
FT The Kassam Stadium
  • Tyler Goodrham 85' goal
  • yellowcard Japhet Tanganga 3'
  • goal Japhet Tanganga 45'
  • yellowcard Ryan Leonard 59'
  • yellowcard Joe Bryan 64'
  • yellowcard George Saville 90'+1'
EFL Cup Gameweek 2
Aug 27, 2019 7.45pm
2
2
ET
  • Mark Sykes 58' yellowcard
  • John Mousinho 69' yellowcard
  • James Hanson 73' yellowcard
  • Kevin Berkoe 80' yellowcard
  • Mark Sykes 87' goal
  • James Henry 94' goal
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 29'
  • goal Jon Dadi Bodvarsson 52'
League One
Apr 22, 2017 3.00pm
0
3
HT : 0 2
FT
  • Tony Craig 28' yellowcard
  • goal Conor McAleny 6'
  • goal Conor McAleny 9'
  • goal Josh Ruffels 71'
League One
Oct 29, 2016 1.00pm
1
2
HT : 1 1
FT
  • Joe Skarz 26' yellowcard
  • Liam Sercombe 31' goal
  • Philip Edwards 52' yellowcard
  • Joe Rothwell 65' yellowcard
  • Chris Maguire 68' yellowcard
  • yellowcard Mahlon Romeo 9'
  • yellowcard Ben Thompson 23'
  • goal Steve Morison 36'
  • goal Aiden O'Brien 50'
  • yellowcard Shane Ferguson 67'
  • yellowcard Steve Morison 93'