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Everton logo
Premier League | Gameweek 12
Dec 12, 2020 at 8pm UK
Goodison Park
Chelsea logo

Everton
1 - 0
Chelsea

Sigurdsson (22' pen.)
Richarlison (24'), Doucoure (80')
FT(HT: 1-0)

Kante (45+3'), James (59'), Silva (65')

Preview: Everton vs. Chelsea - prediction, team news, lineups

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Premier League clash between Everton and Chelsea, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Chelsea have the opportunity to reclaim top spot in the Premier League - temporarily at least - when they make the trip to Everton on Saturday evening.

The Blues have been in impressive form since the end of October and are two points off the summit, with Tottenham Hotspur and Liverpool not in action until the following day.

Everton have been heading in the opposite direction, meanwhile, and enter this game five points worse off than their opponents in ninth place.


Match preview

Kurt Zouma celebrates scoring for Chelsea against Leeds United in the Premier League on December 5, 2020© Reuters

Heading into the October international break, Everton found themselves five points better off than Chelsea thanks to a perfect start in their first four games.

Since then, though, they have lost four, drawn two and won only one of their last seven - a narrow 3-2 win over Fulham at Craven Cottage.

Last week's 1-1 draw at Burnley was another disappointing result, but it did at least bring an end to a run of four defeats in five matches for the Toffees.

Carlo Ancelotti's men have lost their last two home matches, against Manchester United and Leeds United, and are aiming to avoid three in a row for the first time since March 2016.

Everton manager Carlo Ancelotti pictured on November22, 2020© Reuters

Indeed, Ancelotti - who took charge of 76 Premier League games with Chelsea from 2009 to 2011 - has not lost three home league games on the spin since November 2006 with AC Milan.

This is far from the ideal fixture for the Merseyside outfit, then, with the visitors winning four and drawing one of their last five top-flight matches.

The Blues recovered to beat Leeds United 3-1 last weekend and extended their unbeaten streak in all competitions to 14 matches with a 1-1 draw against Krasnodar.

That Champions League dead rubber gave Frank Lampard a chance to rotate his side, but Chelsea will field their strongest XI at Goodison Park as they look to lay down another title statement.

Everton Premier League form: LLLWLD

Chelsea Premier League form: WWDWWD


Team News

Dominic Calvert-Lewin carries the match ball after scoring a hat-trick against West Ham United in the EFL Cup on September 30, 2020© Reuters

Everton remain without Lucas Digne and Seamus Coleman, meaning that Alex Iwobi and Tom Davies are having to play out of position at wing-back.

Fabian Delph was used in that position against Burnley, but the injury-plagued midfielder hobbled off and is set for another spell on the sidelines.

Dominic Calvert-Lewin scored a brace against Chelsea in this fixture last term and is the Premier League's top scorer so far this season with 11 goals in 11 games.

As for Chelsea, Olivier Giroud appears to have nailed down a starting spot up top, though Tammy Abraham will of course be hopeful of playing a part.

Giroud has scored in each of his last six Premier League starts for Chelsea - only Mark Stein (seven between December 1993 and February 1994) has scored in more consecutive starts for the club in the competition.

Hakim Ziyech and Callum Hudson-Odoi are injured, but there are plenty of other options out wide, including Christian Pulisic and the versatile Timo Werner.

Everton possible starting lineup:
Pickford; Godfrey, Mina, Keane; Davies, Allan, Doucoure, Iwobi; Rodriguez, Calvert-Lewin, Richarlison

Chelsea possible starting lineup:
Mendy; James, Zouma, Silva, Chilwell; Kovacic, Kante, Mount; Pulisic, Giroud, Werner


SM words green background

We say: Everton 1-2 Chelsea

Everton have won their last two home league meetings with Chelsea - they last won three in a row between February 2010 and February 2012 - but they have lost back-to-back matches at Goodison Park over the past month.

Chelsea have been in sensational form, meanwhile, winning five away games in a row in all competitions, and we can see them extending that victorious run this weekend.


Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting a double chance bet on a draw or an away win in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.Draw/Away:data



Video prediction

Watch the Sports Mole Football Shorts prediction for this game below:



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Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Chelsea win with a probability of 52.45%. A win for Everton had a probability of 25.04% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Chelsea win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.33%) and 0-2 (7.83%). The likeliest Everton win was 2-1 (6.37%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.3%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 5.5% likelihood.


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Game History

How you voted: Everton vs Chelsea

Everton
12.3%
Draw
12.3%
Chelsea
75.3%
381
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Jamie Carragher pictured in December 2018
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1Liverpool108111961325
2Manchester CityMan City1072121111023
3Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest10541147719
4Chelsea105322012818
5Arsenal105321711618
6Aston Villa105321715218
7Tottenham HotspurSpurs1051422111116
8Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton104421714316
9Fulham104331413115
10Bournemouth104331312115
11Newcastle UnitedNewcastle104331010015
12Brentford104151920-113
13Manchester UnitedMan Utd10334912-312
14West Ham UnitedWest Ham103251319-611
15Leicester CityLeicester102441418-410
16Everton102351017-79
17Crystal Palace10145813-57
18Ipswich TownIpswich100551021-115
19Southampton10118719-124
20Wolverhampton WanderersWolves100371427-133


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